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Past Issues 2002

JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2002 Vol. 84, No. 1

Complete Issue (PDF 703k)

The Controversy Over Free Trade: The Gap Between Economists and the General Public pp. 1-22 (PDF 173k)
by Cletus C. Coughlin

Not Your Father's Pension Plan: The Rise of 401(k) and Other Defined Contribution Plans pp. 23-34 (PDF 133k)
by Leora Friedberg and Michael T. Owyang
Data and Programs (.xls)

Voting Rights, Private Benefits, and Takeovers pp. 35-46 (PDF 104k)
by Frank A. Schmid
Data (.txt)

Could a CAMELS Downgrade Model Improve Off-Site Surveillance? pp. 47-63 (PDF 193k)
by R. Alton Gilbert, Andrew P. Meyer, and Mark D. Vaughan
Due to the size and confidentially of the data, questions regarding data and programs may be directed to Andrew P. Meyer, ameyer@stls.frb.org. Data on CAMEL ratings are confidential and will not be released.

MARCH/APRIL 2002 Vol. 84, No. 2

Complete Issue (PDF 764k)

Eulogy for Darryl R. Francis, 1912-2002 pp. 1-2 (PDF 45k)
by William Poole

The High-Tech Investment Boom and Economic Growth in the 1990s: Accounting for Quality pp. 3-18 (PDF 232k)
by Michael R. Pakko
Data (.xls)

Why Are Stock Market Returns Correlated with Future Economic Activities? pp. 19-34 (PDF 200k)
by Hui Guo
Data (.xls)
Program (.tsp)

Why the Fed Should Ignore the Stock Market pp. 35-42 (PDF 91k)
by James Bullard and Eric Schaling

The Monetary Policy Innovation Paradox in VARs: A "Discrete" Explanation pp. 43-50 (PDF 120k)
by Michael J. Dueker
Data (.zip)

MAY/JUNE 2002 Vol. 84, No. 3

Complete Issue (PDF 906k)

Conducting Monetary Policy Without Government Debt: The Fed pp. 1-14 (PDF 125k)
by David C. Wheelock
Data (.txt)

Unemployment Insurance Claims and Economic Activity pp. 15-28 (PDF 284k)
by William T. Gavin and Kevin L. Kliesen
Data (.xls)
Program (.prg)

Did "Right-to-Work" Work for Idaho? pp. 29-42 (PDF 227k)
by Emin M. Dinlersoz and Rubén Hernández-Murillo
Program (.exe)
Data (.exe)

Predicting Exchange Rate Volatility: Genetic Programming Versus GARCH and RiskMetrics(TM) pp. 43-54 (PDF 146k)
by Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

JULY/AUGUST 2002 Vol. 84, No. 4

Getting the Markets In Synch with Monetary Policy

Proceedings of the Twenty-Sixth Annual Economic Policy Conference of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Complete Issue (PDF 1.5M)

Contributing Authors pp. 1-2 (PDF 27k)

President's Message pp. 3-4 (PDF 23k)
by William Poole

Chairman's Remarks pp. 5-6 (PDF 30k)
by Alan Greenspan

Editor's Introduction pp. 7-14 (PDF 63k)
by Daniel L. Thornton

Are Contemporary Central Banks Transparent About Economic Models and Objectives and What Difference Does It Make? pp. 15-36 (PDF 177k)
by Alex Cukierman

Commentary pp. 37-46 (PDF 108k)
by Carl E. Walsh
Commentary on "Are Contemporary Central Banks Transparent About Economic Models and Objectives and What Difference Does It Make?"

Central Bank Structure, Policy Efficiency, and Macroeconomic Performance: Exploring Empirical Relationships pp. 47-60 (PDF 135k)
by Stephen G. Cecchetti and Stefan Krause

Commentary pp. 61-64 (PDF 43k)
by K. Alec Chrystal
Commentary on "Central Bank Structure, Policy Efficiency, and Macroeconomic Performance: Exploring Empirical Relationships"

Market Anticipations of Monetary Policy Actions pp. 65-94 (PDF 253k)
by William Poole, Robert H. Rasche, and Daniel L. Thornton

Commentary pp. 95-98 (PDF 60k)
by Mark W. Watson
Commentary on "Market Anticipations of Monetary Policy Actions"

Does It Pay to be Transparent? International Evidence Form Central Bank Forecasts pp. 99-118 (PDF 166k)
by Gabriel Sterne, David Stasavage, and Georgios Chortareas

Commentary pp. 119-126 (PDF 82k)
by Adam S. Posen
Commentary on " Does It Pay to be Transparent? International Evidence From Central Bank Forecasts

Does Inflation Targeting Matter? pp. 127-148 (PDF 182k)
by Jürgen von Hagen and Manfred J.M. Neumann

Commentary pp. 149-154 (PDF 52k)
by Frederic S. Mishkin
Commentary on "Does Inflation Targeting Matter?"

Panel Discussion: Transparency in the Practice of Monetary Policy pp. 155-166 (PDF 94k)
by Charles Freedman, Václav Klaus, and J. Alfred Broaddus, Jr.

SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 2002 Vol. 84, No. 5

Complete Issue (PDF 1M)

Financial Stability pp. 1-8 (PDF 65k)
by William Poole

Aviation Security and Terrorism: A Review of the Economic Issues pp. 9-25 (PDF 305k)
by Cletus C. Coughlin, Jeffrey P. Cohen, and Sarosh R. Khan
Data (.txt)

Has Japan Been Left Out in the Cold by Regional Integration? pp. 26-36 (PDF 136k)
by Howard J. Wall

The FOMC’s Balance-of-Risks Statement and Market Expectations of Policy Actions pp. 37-50 (PDF 119k)
by Robert H. Rasche and Daniel L. Thornton
Data (.xls)

How Well Do Monetary Fundamentals Forecast Exchange Rates? pp. 51-74 (PDF 219k)
by Christopher J. Neely and Lucio Sarno
Data (.txt)
Program (.txt)

Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Future Output pp. 75-86 (PDF 117k)
by Hui Guo
Data (.txt)
Program (.txt)

NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 2002 Vol. 84, No. 6

Complete Issue (PDF 853k)

Flation pp. 1-6 (PDF 56k)
by William Poole and Robert H. Rasche

A Case Study of a Currency Crisis: The Russian Default of 1998 pp. 7-18 (PDF 130k)
by Abbigail Chiodo and Michael T. Owyang
Data (.txt)

Asset Mispricing, Arbitrage, and Volatility pp. 19-28 (PDF 108k)
by William R. Emmons and Frank A. Schmid

Regime-Dependent Recession Forecasts and the 2001 Recession pp. 29-36 (PDF 160k)
by Michael J. Dueker
Data (.txt)
Program (.txt)

Investment-Specific Technology Growth: Concepts and Recent Estimates pp. 37-48 (PDF 227k)
by Michael R. Pakko
Data (.xls)

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