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Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities    
Percent, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1967-06 to 2013-02 (May 1)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly recession indicators academic data Time series data created mainly by academia to address growing demand in understanding specific concerns in the economy that are not well modeled by ordinary statistical agencies. chauvet & piger chauvet, m. and j. piger
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Chile from the Period following the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1997-12 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough chile
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Korea from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1972-07 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators south korea peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Norway from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-07 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak norway
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Germany from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1960-11-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development germany recession indicators peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Austria from the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-03-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough austria
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for India from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1997-08-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough india
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the Czech Republic from the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1996-07-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough czech republic
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for New Zealand from the Period following the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-07-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough new zealand
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Italy from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1960-10-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough italy
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Netherlands from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-09 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough netherlands
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Switzerland from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-11 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough switzerland
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for South Africa from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1960-07 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough south africa
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Chile from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1997-12 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough chile
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Estonia from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1996-03 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough estonia
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the Slovak Republic from the Period following the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1993-09-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak slovakia Slovak Republic
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Portugal from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-02-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough portugal
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Indonesia from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1993-04-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough indonesia
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Mexico from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1962-09 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators mexico peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Sweden from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-02-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough sweden
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Estonia from the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1996-03-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak estonia
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Spain from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1963-03-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak spain
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Turkey from the Period following the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-10-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough turkey
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Russian Federation from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1996-10 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak russia
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Netherlands from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-09 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough netherlands
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Mexico from the Period following the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1962-09-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators mexico peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Indonesia from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1993-04-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough indonesia
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Poland from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1998-03 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough poland
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Netherlands from the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-09 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough netherlands
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1854-12-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) nber National Bureau of Economic Research recession indicators peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Poland from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1998-03-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak poland
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for China from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1979-01-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development china recession indicators peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Austria from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-03 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough austria
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Mexico from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1962-09 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators mexico peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Greece from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-05 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak greece
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Belgium from the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-05 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough belgium
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Hungary from the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1996-09 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak hungary
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Switzerland from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-11-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough switzerland
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Spain from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1963-03 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough spain
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Greece from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-05-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak greece
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Japan from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-12-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development japan recession indicators peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Sweden from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-02-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak sweden
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the Czech Republic from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1996-07 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough czech republic
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Finland from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-11 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough finland
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Australia from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-09-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators australia peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Austria from the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1961-03 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough austria
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for China from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1979-01 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development china recession indicators peak trough
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Brazil from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1997-09-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak brazil
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Hungary from the Peak through the Trough  
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1996-09-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak hungary
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Germany from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted1960-11-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted daily frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development germany recession indicators trough peak
 

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