Title: Leading Index for Tennessee Series ID: TNSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:22 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -1.56 1982-02-01 -0.64 1982-03-01 -0.28 1982-04-01 -0.22 1982-05-01 -0.27 1982-06-01 -0.76 1982-07-01 -1.11 1982-08-01 -1.29 1982-09-01 -0.48 1982-10-01 0.19 1982-11-01 0.88 1982-12-01 1.45 1983-01-01 2.41 1983-02-01 2.33 1983-03-01 2.33 1983-04-01 2.64 1983-05-01 2.74 1983-06-01 3.33 1983-07-01 3.70 1983-08-01 4.43 1983-09-01 4.76 1983-10-01 4.64 1983-11-01 3.91 1983-12-01 3.57 1984-01-01 3.41 1984-02-01 3.21 1984-03-01 2.47 1984-04-01 2.69 1984-05-01 2.59 1984-06-01 2.97 1984-07-01 2.26 1984-08-01 1.88 1984-09-01 1.68 1984-10-01 1.41 1984-11-01 1.76 1984-12-01 2.03 1985-01-01 2.47 1985-02-01 2.96 1985-03-01 3.12 1985-04-01 3.09 1985-05-01 2.72 1985-06-01 2.37 1985-07-01 2.76 1985-08-01 2.80 1985-09-01 2.90 1985-10-01 2.59 1985-11-01 2.95 1985-12-01 2.69 1986-01-01 2.14 1986-02-01 1.77 1986-03-01 2.40 1986-04-01 2.49 1986-05-01 2.31 1986-06-01 2.10 1986-07-01 2.62 1986-08-01 2.19 1986-09-01 2.63 1986-10-01 3.27 1986-11-01 3.29 1986-12-01 3.45 1987-01-01 3.14 1987-02-01 2.37 1987-03-01 2.54 1987-04-01 2.94 1987-05-01 3.38 1987-06-01 3.01 1987-07-01 2.88 1987-08-01 2.97 1987-09-01 3.32 1987-10-01 3.46 1987-11-01 2.49 1987-12-01 2.09 1988-01-01 2.01 1988-02-01 2.24 1988-03-01 2.41 1988-04-01 2.59 1988-05-01 2.31 1988-06-01 2.62 1988-07-01 2.21 1988-08-01 2.00 1988-09-01 1.98 1988-10-01 2.87 1988-11-01 2.78 1988-12-01 2.54 1989-01-01 2.69 1989-02-01 2.24 1989-03-01 2.10 1989-04-01 2.13 1989-05-01 1.80 1989-06-01 1.90 1989-07-01 1.29 1989-08-01 1.24 1989-09-01 0.59 1989-10-01 1.32 1989-11-01 1.47 1989-12-01 1.85 1990-01-01 2.02 1990-02-01 1.16 1990-03-01 1.10 1990-04-01 0.87 1990-05-01 0.48 1990-06-01 0.36 1990-07-01 -0.22 1990-08-01 0.08 1990-09-01 -0.54 1990-10-01 -1.18 1990-11-01 -0.92 1990-12-01 -0.68 1991-01-01 -0.12 1991-02-01 0.79 1991-03-01 0.92 1991-04-01 1.50 1991-05-01 2.06 1991-06-01 1.51 1991-07-01 2.26 1991-08-01 2.58 1991-09-01 1.73 1991-10-01 1.76 1991-11-01 1.98 1991-12-01 2.07 1992-01-01 2.19 1992-02-01 2.54 1992-03-01 2.88 1992-04-01 2.79 1992-05-01 2.99 1992-06-01 3.10 1992-07-01 2.90 1992-08-01 3.13 1992-09-01 3.73 1992-10-01 3.01 1992-11-01 2.93 1992-12-01 2.98 1993-01-01 2.65 1993-02-01 2.56 1993-03-01 2.15 1993-04-01 2.66 1993-05-01 2.95 1993-06-01 2.70 1993-07-01 2.54 1993-08-01 2.30 1993-09-01 2.76 1993-10-01 2.99 1993-11-01 2.21 1993-12-01 3.23 1994-01-01 2.79 1994-02-01 3.44 1994-03-01 3.26 1994-04-01 2.82 1994-05-01 2.13 1994-06-01 2.28 1994-07-01 2.76 1994-08-01 2.64 1994-09-01 2.89 1994-10-01 2.77 1994-11-01 2.32 1994-12-01 1.85 1995-01-01 1.45 1995-02-01 0.95 1995-03-01 1.15 1995-04-01 0.93 1995-05-01 1.88 1995-06-01 1.81 1995-07-01 1.78 1995-08-01 1.82 1995-09-01 1.45 1995-10-01 0.81 1995-11-01 1.02 1995-12-01 0.98 1996-01-01 0.89 1996-02-01 1.08 1996-03-01 0.70 1996-04-01 0.99 1996-05-01 1.26 1996-06-01 1.11 1996-07-01 1.78 1996-08-01 1.59 1996-09-01 1.29 1996-10-01 1.33 1996-11-01 1.67 1996-12-01 1.73 1997-01-01 1.96 1997-02-01 2.24 1997-03-01 1.97 1997-04-01 1.74 1997-05-01 1.59 1997-06-01 1.08 1997-07-01 1.10 1997-08-01 1.76 1997-09-01 2.20 1997-10-01 2.36 1997-11-01 1.73 1997-12-01 1.34 1998-01-01 1.37 1998-02-01 1.54 1998-03-01 1.68 1998-04-01 1.76 1998-05-01 2.05 1998-06-01 1.16 1998-07-01 1.08 1998-08-01 1.59 1998-09-01 1.57 1998-10-01 1.39 1998-11-01 0.98 1998-12-01 1.19 1999-01-01 1.42 1999-02-01 1.49 1999-03-01 1.54 1999-04-01 1.72 1999-05-01 1.65 1999-06-01 1.68 1999-07-01 1.66 1999-08-01 1.42 1999-09-01 1.78 1999-10-01 1.66 1999-11-01 1.25 1999-12-01 1.82 2000-01-01 1.43 2000-02-01 1.05 2000-03-01 1.04 2000-04-01 0.75 2000-05-01 0.46 2000-06-01 0.48 2000-07-01 0.29 2000-08-01 -0.25 2000-09-01 -0.18 2000-10-01 -0.48 2000-11-01 -0.84 2000-12-01 -1.03 2001-01-01 -1.13 2001-02-01 -1.13 2001-03-01 -1.22 2001-04-01 -0.97 2001-05-01 -1.08 2001-06-01 -1.14 2001-07-01 -0.82 2001-08-01 -0.80 2001-09-01 -0.91 2001-10-01 -0.33 2001-11-01 0.50 2001-12-01 0.48 2002-01-01 1.44 2002-02-01 1.30 2002-03-01 1.54 2002-04-01 1.62 2002-05-01 1.24 2002-06-01 1.39 2002-07-01 1.37 2002-08-01 0.74 2002-09-01 0.40 2002-10-01 0.48 2002-11-01 0.58 2002-12-01 0.04 2003-01-01 0.20 2003-02-01 0.42 2003-03-01 0.74 2003-04-01 0.88 2003-05-01 0.48 2003-06-01 0.30 2003-07-01 0.92 2003-08-01 1.75 2003-09-01 2.22 2003-10-01 2.27 2003-11-01 1.87 2003-12-01 2.01 2004-01-01 1.85 2004-02-01 1.58 2004-03-01 1.48 2004-04-01 1.18 2004-05-01 0.98 2004-06-01 1.59 2004-07-01 1.06 2004-08-01 1.03 2004-09-01 0.85 2004-10-01 1.27 2004-11-01 1.14 2004-12-01 1.24 2005-01-01 0.92 2005-02-01 1.05 2005-03-01 1.17 2005-04-01 1.39 2005-05-01 1.24 2005-06-01 1.20 2005-07-01 1.46 2005-08-01 0.98 2005-09-01 1.17 2005-10-01 0.71 2005-11-01 1.18 2005-12-01 1.41 2006-01-01 1.85 2006-02-01 1.45 2006-03-01 0.95 2006-04-01 1.06 2006-05-01 1.04 2006-06-01 0.53 2006-07-01 0.35 2006-08-01 0.71 2006-09-01 0.14 2006-10-01 0.68 2006-11-01 0.36 2006-12-01 0.63 2007-01-01 0.88 2007-02-01 0.40 2007-03-01 0.65 2007-04-01 0.72 2007-05-01 0.76 2007-06-01 0.72 2007-07-01 0.69 2007-08-01 0.55 2007-09-01 0.60 2007-10-01 0.89 2007-11-01 1.20 2007-12-01 0.36 2008-01-01 0.03 2008-02-01 -0.27 2008-03-01 -0.85 2008-04-01 -0.82 2008-05-01 -1.09 2008-06-01 -1.42 2008-07-01 -1.20 2008-08-01 -1.63 2008-09-01 -2.62 2008-10-01 -3.53 2008-11-01 -4.20 2008-12-01 -4.10 2009-01-01 -4.01 2009-02-01 -3.98 2009-03-01 -3.27 2009-04-01 -1.86 2009-05-01 -1.32 2009-06-01 -0.76 2009-07-01 -0.01 2009-08-01 0.48 2009-09-01 0.80 2009-10-01 0.86 2009-11-01 0.65 2009-12-01 1.11 2010-01-01 1.47 2010-02-01 1.52 2010-03-01 2.90 2010-04-01 2.31 2010-05-01 0.88 2010-06-01 1.17 2010-07-01 1.43 2010-08-01 1.03 2010-09-01 1.21 2010-10-01 1.32 2010-11-01 1.28 2010-12-01 1.60 2011-01-01 1.63 2011-02-01 1.73 2011-03-01 1.67 2011-04-01 1.33 2011-05-01 1.54 2011-06-01 1.71 2011-07-01 2.00 2011-08-01 1.83 2011-09-01 1.92 2011-10-01 2.32 2011-11-01 1.90 2011-12-01 1.70 2012-01-01 2.33 2012-02-01 2.32 2012-03-01 1.44 2012-04-01 1.64 2012-05-01 1.55 2012-06-01 0.88 2012-07-01 1.37 2012-08-01 1.61 2012-09-01 1.75 2012-10-01 1.78 2012-11-01 1.71 2012-12-01 1.62 2013-01-01 1.17 2013-02-01 1.12 2013-03-01 0.95