Title: Leading Index for South Carolina Series ID: SCSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-04-01 Last Updated: 2013-05-28 10:19 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -2.33 1982-02-01 -1.49 1982-03-01 -1.08 1982-04-01 -0.69 1982-05-01 -1.16 1982-06-01 -0.79 1982-07-01 0.40 1982-08-01 -0.10 1982-09-01 0.23 1982-10-01 1.56 1982-11-01 2.16 1982-12-01 2.94 1983-01-01 3.75 1983-02-01 4.50 1983-03-01 5.76 1983-04-01 6.42 1983-05-01 6.71 1983-06-01 6.53 1983-07-01 6.09 1983-08-01 5.54 1983-09-01 4.74 1983-10-01 4.80 1983-11-01 4.45 1983-12-01 3.99 1984-01-01 5.04 1984-02-01 5.09 1984-03-01 4.71 1984-04-01 4.08 1984-05-01 2.95 1984-06-01 2.99 1984-07-01 1.87 1984-08-01 1.99 1984-09-01 1.48 1984-10-01 1.86 1984-11-01 1.70 1984-12-01 2.22 1985-01-01 2.20 1985-02-01 3.69 1985-03-01 2.91 1985-04-01 1.21 1985-05-01 1.41 1985-06-01 2.31 1985-07-01 2.49 1985-08-01 3.87 1985-09-01 4.31 1985-10-01 3.53 1985-11-01 3.41 1985-12-01 4.08 1986-01-01 3.25 1986-02-01 2.90 1986-03-01 2.61 1986-04-01 3.37 1986-05-01 3.69 1986-06-01 2.83 1986-07-01 2.63 1986-08-01 3.28 1986-09-01 3.29 1986-10-01 3.06 1986-11-01 2.21 1986-12-01 3.01 1987-01-01 3.33 1987-02-01 2.85 1987-03-01 3.61 1987-04-01 3.74 1987-05-01 4.80 1987-06-01 4.36 1987-07-01 2.49 1987-08-01 2.70 1987-09-01 2.46 1987-10-01 1.93 1987-11-01 2.69 1987-12-01 2.77 1988-01-01 2.50 1988-02-01 3.10 1988-03-01 3.76 1988-04-01 3.66 1988-05-01 3.24 1988-06-01 2.63 1988-07-01 2.83 1988-08-01 2.50 1988-09-01 1.97 1988-10-01 2.73 1988-11-01 2.31 1988-12-01 2.53 1989-01-01 2.81 1989-02-01 2.15 1989-03-01 1.46 1989-04-01 0.70 1989-05-01 1.02 1989-06-01 1.61 1989-07-01 1.49 1989-08-01 1.44 1989-09-01 1.68 1989-10-01 1.74 1989-11-01 3.36 1989-12-01 3.34 1990-01-01 3.47 1990-02-01 2.84 1990-03-01 1.47 1990-04-01 1.21 1990-05-01 0.89 1990-06-01 1.01 1990-07-01 -0.22 1990-08-01 0.12 1990-09-01 -0.81 1990-10-01 -1.60 1990-11-01 -1.90 1990-12-01 -2.43 1991-01-01 -2.24 1991-02-01 -1.85 1991-03-01 -0.88 1991-04-01 -0.40 1991-05-01 -0.34 1991-06-01 0.52 1991-07-01 1.18 1991-08-01 0.76 1991-09-01 0.86 1991-10-01 1.13 1991-11-01 1.41 1991-12-01 1.09 1992-01-01 0.94 1992-02-01 1.88 1992-03-01 2.40 1992-04-01 2.32 1992-05-01 2.17 1992-06-01 2.46 1992-07-01 2.39 1992-08-01 3.26 1992-09-01 2.61 1992-10-01 1.87 1992-11-01 1.91 1992-12-01 1.45 1993-01-01 1.46 1993-02-01 1.85 1993-03-01 1.85 1993-04-01 2.28 1993-05-01 2.87 1993-06-01 2.26 1993-07-01 3.07 1993-08-01 3.19 1993-09-01 2.91 1993-10-01 2.65 1993-11-01 2.09 1993-12-01 1.67 1994-01-01 0.79 1994-02-01 1.62 1994-03-01 1.91 1994-04-01 2.29 1994-05-01 3.60 1994-06-01 3.11 1994-07-01 2.49 1994-08-01 2.27 1994-09-01 2.36 1994-10-01 2.57 1994-11-01 2.48 1994-12-01 1.66 1995-01-01 2.08 1995-02-01 1.46 1995-03-01 1.15 1995-04-01 1.45 1995-05-01 1.18 1995-06-01 1.47 1995-07-01 1.13 1995-08-01 1.56 1995-09-01 1.06 1995-10-01 1.19 1995-11-01 1.40 1995-12-01 1.55 1996-01-01 0.97 1996-02-01 1.01 1996-03-01 1.49 1996-04-01 1.61 1996-05-01 1.80 1996-06-01 1.84 1996-07-01 2.07 1996-08-01 1.99 1996-09-01 2.44 1996-10-01 2.01 1996-11-01 2.55 1996-12-01 2.76 1997-01-01 2.57 1997-02-01 3.06 1997-03-01 3.16 1997-04-01 2.47 1997-05-01 2.75 1997-06-01 2.28 1997-07-01 3.17 1997-08-01 3.31 1997-09-01 4.25 1997-10-01 3.73 1997-11-01 3.64 1997-12-01 3.03 1998-01-01 3.01 1998-02-01 3.02 1998-03-01 2.82 1998-04-01 2.06 1998-05-01 2.15 1998-06-01 2.80 1998-07-01 2.32 1998-08-01 2.13 1998-09-01 2.67 1998-10-01 2.43 1998-11-01 2.21 1998-12-01 1.91 1999-01-01 2.21 1999-02-01 1.39 1999-03-01 1.63 1999-04-01 1.29 1999-05-01 1.73 1999-06-01 1.30 1999-07-01 1.05 1999-08-01 1.58 1999-09-01 2.00 1999-10-01 2.71 1999-11-01 2.89 1999-12-01 1.90 2000-01-01 2.10 2000-02-01 1.43 2000-03-01 1.18 2000-04-01 -0.20 2000-05-01 -0.29 2000-06-01 -0.96 2000-07-01 -0.66 2000-08-01 -0.83 2000-09-01 -0.17 2000-10-01 0.53 2000-11-01 -0.49 2000-12-01 -1.52 2001-01-01 -2.37 2001-02-01 -2.40 2001-03-01 -2.15 2001-04-01 -2.11 2001-05-01 -1.22 2001-06-01 -1.11 2001-07-01 -1.10 2001-08-01 -0.34 2001-09-01 -0.67 2001-10-01 -1.00 2001-11-01 -0.30 2001-12-01 -0.18 2002-01-01 0.69 2002-02-01 1.17 2002-03-01 1.09 2002-04-01 2.09 2002-05-01 1.85 2002-06-01 2.00 2002-07-01 1.40 2002-08-01 1.14 2002-09-01 0.47 2002-10-01 -0.48 2002-11-01 -0.02 2002-12-01 0.42 2003-01-01 0.39 2003-02-01 1.50 2003-03-01 0.80 2003-04-01 0.36 2003-05-01 -0.34 2003-06-01 -0.07 2003-07-01 1.04 2003-08-01 1.00 2003-09-01 2.29 2003-10-01 2.58 2003-11-01 1.53 2003-12-01 1.71 2004-01-01 1.76 2004-02-01 0.90 2004-03-01 1.22 2004-04-01 1.99 2004-05-01 1.31 2004-06-01 1.55 2004-07-01 1.42 2004-08-01 1.28 2004-09-01 0.88 2004-10-01 0.91 2004-11-01 1.04 2004-12-01 1.41 2005-01-01 1.44 2005-02-01 1.03 2005-03-01 1.37 2005-04-01 1.98 2005-05-01 1.80 2005-06-01 1.47 2005-07-01 1.53 2005-08-01 1.75 2005-09-01 1.23 2005-10-01 1.66 2005-11-01 2.09 2005-12-01 1.73 2006-01-01 1.93 2006-02-01 2.85 2006-03-01 1.84 2006-04-01 0.55 2006-05-01 0.59 2006-06-01 -0.09 2006-07-01 1.22 2006-08-01 1.78 2006-09-01 2.65 2006-10-01 3.02 2006-11-01 2.92 2006-12-01 2.38 2007-01-01 2.30 2007-02-01 2.06 2007-03-01 0.90 2007-04-01 0.42 2007-05-01 0.18 2007-06-01 0.34 2007-07-01 0.44 2007-08-01 0.33 2007-09-01 -0.09 2007-10-01 0.07 2007-11-01 0.00 2007-12-01 0.36 2008-01-01 -0.24 2008-02-01 -0.93 2008-03-01 -1.21 2008-04-01 -2.53 2008-05-01 -3.11 2008-06-01 -2.75 2008-07-01 -3.29 2008-08-01 -3.30 2008-09-01 -3.05 2008-10-01 -3.83 2008-11-01 -4.91 2008-12-01 -5.71 2009-01-01 -5.48 2009-02-01 -5.61 2009-03-01 -4.37 2009-04-01 -2.05 2009-05-01 -1.16 2009-06-01 -0.93 2009-07-01 -0.54 2009-08-01 -0.32 2009-09-01 -0.16 2009-10-01 0.03 2009-11-01 -0.09 2009-12-01 0.76 2010-01-01 0.68 2010-02-01 2.33 2010-03-01 1.90 2010-04-01 2.42 2010-05-01 2.35 2010-06-01 2.20 2010-07-01 0.79 2010-08-01 0.85 2010-09-01 0.34 2010-10-01 0.28 2010-11-01 1.04 2010-12-01 1.46 2011-01-01 1.28 2011-02-01 1.40 2011-03-01 1.28 2011-04-01 0.97 2011-05-01 1.19 2011-06-01 0.48 2011-07-01 -0.19 2011-08-01 1.30 2011-09-01 1.57 2011-10-01 2.65 2011-11-01 1.81 2011-12-01 2.41 2012-01-01 2.74 2012-02-01 1.85 2012-03-01 1.30 2012-04-01 0.69 2012-05-01 0.71 2012-06-01 0.99 2012-07-01 1.84 2012-08-01 1.94 2012-09-01 2.85 2012-10-01 2.16 2012-11-01 2.79 2012-12-01 1.61 2013-01-01 0.14 2013-02-01 1.05 2013-03-01 2.17 2013-04-01 3.56