Title: Leading Index for Rhode Island Series ID: RISLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-04-01 Last Updated: 2013-05-28 10:18 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -1.93 1982-02-01 -1.23 1982-03-01 -0.62 1982-04-01 -0.35 1982-05-01 0.29 1982-06-01 0.46 1982-07-01 0.54 1982-08-01 0.09 1982-09-01 0.50 1982-10-01 0.84 1982-11-01 1.47 1982-12-01 2.07 1983-01-01 3.15 1983-02-01 3.92 1983-03-01 4.70 1983-04-01 5.03 1983-05-01 4.87 1983-06-01 4.50 1983-07-01 4.56 1983-08-01 4.36 1983-09-01 4.40 1983-10-01 4.37 1983-11-01 5.31 1983-12-01 4.66 1984-01-01 4.90 1984-02-01 5.21 1984-03-01 4.63 1984-04-01 4.63 1984-05-01 4.57 1984-06-01 4.17 1984-07-01 4.11 1984-08-01 4.50 1984-09-01 4.44 1984-10-01 3.60 1984-11-01 3.18 1984-12-01 3.30 1985-01-01 2.66 1985-02-01 2.88 1985-03-01 2.43 1985-04-01 3.10 1985-05-01 2.87 1985-06-01 3.46 1985-07-01 4.18 1985-08-01 4.65 1985-09-01 4.16 1985-10-01 4.70 1985-11-01 5.22 1985-12-01 4.17 1986-01-01 3.43 1986-02-01 3.42 1986-03-01 3.49 1986-04-01 3.35 1986-05-01 3.08 1986-06-01 3.48 1986-07-01 3.27 1986-08-01 2.61 1986-09-01 2.57 1986-10-01 2.75 1986-11-01 2.72 1986-12-01 2.69 1987-01-01 3.22 1987-02-01 2.82 1987-03-01 2.07 1987-04-01 2.95 1987-05-01 3.75 1987-06-01 3.51 1987-07-01 3.45 1987-08-01 3.21 1987-09-01 3.00 1987-10-01 2.14 1987-11-01 2.27 1987-12-01 2.06 1988-01-01 2.31 1988-02-01 1.79 1988-03-01 2.40 1988-04-01 2.28 1988-05-01 2.08 1988-06-01 2.84 1988-07-01 2.48 1988-08-01 0.84 1988-09-01 0.53 1988-10-01 0.58 1988-11-01 1.07 1988-12-01 0.82 1989-01-01 0.63 1989-02-01 1.10 1989-03-01 0.71 1989-04-01 -0.20 1989-05-01 -1.32 1989-06-01 -1.04 1989-07-01 -1.55 1989-08-01 -1.91 1989-09-01 -1.72 1989-10-01 -1.32 1989-11-01 -1.25 1989-12-01 -0.98 1990-01-01 -1.08 1990-02-01 -1.33 1990-03-01 -1.63 1990-04-01 -1.40 1990-05-01 -1.93 1990-06-01 -2.98 1990-07-01 -3.47 1990-08-01 -3.72 1990-09-01 -4.07 1990-10-01 -4.45 1990-11-01 -4.77 1990-12-01 -4.83 1991-01-01 -4.47 1991-02-01 -4.60 1991-03-01 -4.08 1991-04-01 -3.79 1991-05-01 -2.93 1991-06-01 -2.57 1991-07-01 -1.76 1991-08-01 -1.75 1991-09-01 -1.09 1991-10-01 -0.34 1991-11-01 0.14 1991-12-01 0.22 1992-01-01 1.71 1992-02-01 1.84 1992-03-01 2.18 1992-04-01 2.58 1992-05-01 2.78 1992-06-01 2.41 1992-07-01 2.49 1992-08-01 2.16 1992-09-01 2.23 1992-10-01 2.32 1992-11-01 2.91 1992-12-01 2.50 1993-01-01 2.62 1993-02-01 2.90 1993-03-01 3.32 1993-04-01 3.57 1993-05-01 2.83 1993-06-01 2.87 1993-07-01 2.89 1993-08-01 2.25 1993-09-01 1.74 1993-10-01 1.63 1993-11-01 1.58 1993-12-01 0.96 1994-01-01 1.01 1994-02-01 1.46 1994-03-01 1.63 1994-04-01 1.67 1994-05-01 1.63 1994-06-01 1.93 1994-07-01 1.07 1994-08-01 1.34 1994-09-01 1.18 1994-10-01 1.66 1994-11-01 2.05 1994-12-01 1.91 1995-01-01 0.81 1995-02-01 1.08 1995-03-01 0.56 1995-04-01 0.23 1995-05-01 -0.11 1995-06-01 0.10 1995-07-01 0.78 1995-08-01 1.33 1995-09-01 1.16 1995-10-01 0.74 1995-11-01 0.97 1995-12-01 1.05 1996-01-01 1.25 1996-02-01 0.86 1996-03-01 1.32 1996-04-01 1.87 1996-05-01 1.40 1996-06-01 1.87 1996-07-01 1.52 1996-08-01 2.44 1996-09-01 2.24 1996-10-01 2.10 1996-11-01 1.32 1996-12-01 1.75 1997-01-01 2.49 1997-02-01 2.30 1997-03-01 2.11 1997-04-01 2.17 1997-05-01 2.18 1997-06-01 2.46 1997-07-01 3.08 1997-08-01 2.69 1997-09-01 2.78 1997-10-01 3.09 1997-11-01 2.02 1997-12-01 2.07 1998-01-01 1.80 1998-02-01 1.31 1998-03-01 2.07 1998-04-01 1.91 1998-05-01 2.35 1998-06-01 2.60 1998-07-01 2.00 1998-08-01 1.82 1998-09-01 2.28 1998-10-01 1.36 1998-11-01 1.52 1998-12-01 1.93 1999-01-01 1.27 1999-02-01 1.42 1999-03-01 1.78 1999-04-01 2.19 1999-05-01 2.35 1999-06-01 2.13 1999-07-01 2.32 1999-08-01 2.12 1999-09-01 2.07 1999-10-01 2.30 1999-11-01 2.02 1999-12-01 2.16 2000-01-01 2.16 2000-02-01 2.10 2000-03-01 2.06 2000-04-01 1.81 2000-05-01 1.99 2000-06-01 1.73 2000-07-01 1.60 2000-08-01 1.60 2000-09-01 2.24 2000-10-01 1.18 2000-11-01 0.61 2000-12-01 0.20 2001-01-01 -0.43 2001-02-01 -0.01 2001-03-01 -0.74 2001-04-01 -0.14 2001-05-01 0.48 2001-06-01 0.95 2001-07-01 1.15 2001-08-01 1.10 2001-09-01 0.61 2001-10-01 0.88 2001-11-01 0.80 2001-12-01 1.50 2002-01-01 1.76 2002-02-01 2.36 2002-03-01 1.93 2002-04-01 1.23 2002-05-01 1.60 2002-06-01 1.92 2002-07-01 1.85 2002-08-01 1.76 2002-09-01 2.00 2002-10-01 2.15 2002-11-01 1.56 2002-12-01 1.40 2003-01-01 1.92 2003-02-01 2.05 2003-03-01 2.11 2003-04-01 1.58 2003-05-01 2.00 2003-06-01 1.58 2003-07-01 2.12 2003-08-01 2.39 2003-09-01 2.15 2003-10-01 2.01 2003-11-01 2.69 2003-12-01 2.19 2004-01-01 1.39 2004-02-01 0.98 2004-03-01 0.94 2004-04-01 0.64 2004-05-01 0.59 2004-06-01 0.92 2004-07-01 1.36 2004-08-01 0.57 2004-09-01 0.78 2004-10-01 0.56 2004-11-01 0.87 2004-12-01 0.63 2005-01-01 0.51 2005-02-01 0.64 2005-03-01 0.74 2005-04-01 0.90 2005-05-01 0.78 2005-06-01 0.91 2005-07-01 0.19 2005-08-01 0.38 2005-09-01 0.82 2005-10-01 0.02 2005-11-01 -0.11 2005-12-01 0.32 2006-01-01 1.29 2006-02-01 1.21 2006-03-01 0.99 2006-04-01 0.98 2006-05-01 0.91 2006-06-01 0.79 2006-07-01 0.69 2006-08-01 1.55 2006-09-01 1.15 2006-10-01 1.33 2006-11-01 0.78 2006-12-01 0.23 2007-01-01 0.65 2007-02-01 0.25 2007-03-01 -0.51 2007-04-01 -1.38 2007-05-01 -0.99 2007-06-01 -1.95 2007-07-01 -2.05 2007-08-01 -1.54 2007-09-01 -1.76 2007-10-01 -1.62 2007-11-01 -1.61 2007-12-01 -1.81 2008-01-01 -1.89 2008-02-01 -2.05 2008-03-01 -1.97 2008-04-01 -2.38 2008-05-01 -2.89 2008-06-01 -3.23 2008-07-01 -3.01 2008-08-01 -2.45 2008-09-01 -2.61 2008-10-01 -2.78 2008-11-01 -3.07 2008-12-01 -3.29 2009-01-01 -3.34 2009-02-01 -2.54 2009-03-01 -2.38 2009-04-01 -2.49 2009-05-01 -1.40 2009-06-01 -1.00 2009-07-01 -0.84 2009-08-01 -0.38 2009-09-01 -0.04 2009-10-01 0.37 2009-11-01 0.00 2009-12-01 0.84 2010-01-01 1.27 2010-02-01 1.22 2010-03-01 2.30 2010-04-01 1.61 2010-05-01 1.39 2010-06-01 0.92 2010-07-01 1.61 2010-08-01 1.28 2010-09-01 0.99 2010-10-01 0.69 2010-11-01 0.76 2010-12-01 1.14 2011-01-01 1.38 2011-02-01 1.50 2011-03-01 1.60 2011-04-01 1.28 2011-05-01 0.62 2011-06-01 -0.04 2011-07-01 -0.52 2011-08-01 0.21 2011-09-01 1.28 2011-10-01 1.83 2011-11-01 1.53 2011-12-01 2.09 2012-01-01 1.95 2012-02-01 1.46 2012-03-01 1.36 2012-04-01 0.51 2012-05-01 0.00 2012-06-01 -0.04 2012-07-01 0.81 2012-08-01 1.54 2012-09-01 2.27 2012-10-01 1.67 2012-11-01 1.08 2012-12-01 1.10 2013-01-01 1.51 2013-02-01 3.58 2013-03-01 4.26 2013-04-01 3.75