Title: Leading Index for New Jersey Series ID: NJSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:21 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 0.15 1982-02-01 0.48 1982-03-01 0.96 1982-04-01 1.52 1982-05-01 1.64 1982-06-01 1.36 1982-07-01 0.44 1982-08-01 0.08 1982-09-01 0.43 1982-10-01 0.88 1982-11-01 1.77 1982-12-01 2.31 1983-01-01 3.48 1983-02-01 3.94 1983-03-01 4.21 1983-04-01 4.17 1983-05-01 4.76 1983-06-01 4.60 1983-07-01 4.28 1983-08-01 3.86 1983-09-01 4.26 1983-10-01 3.81 1983-11-01 3.96 1983-12-01 4.24 1984-01-01 4.18 1984-02-01 3.86 1984-03-01 3.47 1984-04-01 3.74 1984-05-01 3.05 1984-06-01 2.18 1984-07-01 2.24 1984-08-01 2.71 1984-09-01 2.54 1984-10-01 2.61 1984-11-01 2.19 1984-12-01 2.14 1985-01-01 2.26 1985-02-01 1.83 1985-03-01 2.29 1985-04-01 3.12 1985-05-01 2.76 1985-06-01 2.99 1985-07-01 2.54 1985-08-01 1.98 1985-09-01 2.16 1985-10-01 2.36 1985-11-01 2.07 1985-12-01 1.93 1986-01-01 1.94 1986-02-01 2.38 1986-03-01 2.63 1986-04-01 2.29 1986-05-01 2.17 1986-06-01 2.96 1986-07-01 3.18 1986-08-01 3.09 1986-09-01 3.08 1986-10-01 2.78 1986-11-01 2.73 1986-12-01 2.22 1987-01-01 2.35 1987-02-01 2.03 1987-03-01 1.91 1987-04-01 1.98 1987-05-01 1.68 1987-06-01 2.07 1987-07-01 2.21 1987-08-01 1.72 1987-09-01 1.82 1987-10-01 2.04 1987-11-01 2.02 1987-12-01 2.09 1988-01-01 1.93 1988-02-01 2.41 1988-03-01 2.16 1988-04-01 2.00 1988-05-01 1.46 1988-06-01 1.34 1988-07-01 1.34 1988-08-01 1.81 1988-09-01 1.63 1988-10-01 1.55 1988-11-01 1.85 1988-12-01 1.77 1989-01-01 1.31 1989-02-01 0.24 1989-03-01 0.09 1989-04-01 -0.24 1989-05-01 -0.36 1989-06-01 -0.10 1989-07-01 -0.23 1989-08-01 -0.33 1989-09-01 0.25 1989-10-01 0.16 1989-11-01 0.50 1989-12-01 0.27 1990-01-01 0.39 1990-02-01 -0.42 1990-03-01 -0.89 1990-04-01 -0.90 1990-05-01 -1.15 1990-06-01 -1.71 1990-07-01 -2.63 1990-08-01 -2.87 1990-09-01 -3.42 1990-10-01 -3.05 1990-11-01 -2.71 1990-12-01 -2.08 1991-01-01 -1.80 1991-02-01 -1.35 1991-03-01 -1.03 1991-04-01 -0.48 1991-05-01 -0.55 1991-06-01 -0.01 1991-07-01 0.09 1991-08-01 -0.03 1991-09-01 -0.53 1991-10-01 -0.97 1991-11-01 -0.45 1991-12-01 -0.29 1992-01-01 -0.56 1992-02-01 0.16 1992-03-01 0.21 1992-04-01 0.79 1992-05-01 1.44 1992-06-01 1.35 1992-07-01 1.41 1992-08-01 1.40 1992-09-01 1.99 1992-10-01 2.57 1992-11-01 1.23 1992-12-01 1.27 1993-01-01 1.88 1993-02-01 1.31 1993-03-01 1.49 1993-04-01 2.17 1993-05-01 2.12 1993-06-01 2.24 1993-07-01 1.94 1993-08-01 2.00 1993-09-01 1.69 1993-10-01 1.65 1993-11-01 1.17 1993-12-01 0.79 1994-01-01 1.35 1994-02-01 2.19 1994-03-01 2.71 1994-04-01 2.45 1994-05-01 2.76 1994-06-01 2.34 1994-07-01 2.17 1994-08-01 2.05 1994-09-01 2.14 1994-10-01 2.04 1994-11-01 1.65 1994-12-01 1.22 1995-01-01 0.61 1995-02-01 0.45 1995-03-01 -0.01 1995-04-01 0.17 1995-05-01 0.58 1995-06-01 1.23 1995-07-01 1.34 1995-08-01 1.50 1995-09-01 0.78 1995-10-01 0.92 1995-11-01 0.57 1995-12-01 0.68 1996-01-01 0.80 1996-02-01 2.03 1996-03-01 1.99 1996-04-01 2.29 1996-05-01 2.91 1996-06-01 1.84 1996-07-01 1.93 1996-08-01 2.18 1996-09-01 2.01 1996-10-01 1.68 1996-11-01 2.40 1996-12-01 2.38 1997-01-01 2.07 1997-02-01 2.31 1997-03-01 2.34 1997-04-01 2.19 1997-05-01 2.14 1997-06-01 2.27 1997-07-01 2.71 1997-08-01 2.44 1997-09-01 2.28 1997-10-01 1.86 1997-11-01 2.04 1997-12-01 1.93 1998-01-01 1.39 1998-02-01 1.65 1998-03-01 1.93 1998-04-01 1.85 1998-05-01 2.22 1998-06-01 2.01 1998-07-01 1.85 1998-08-01 2.03 1998-09-01 2.41 1998-10-01 2.53 1998-11-01 2.45 1998-12-01 2.15 1999-01-01 1.81 1999-02-01 1.71 1999-03-01 1.32 1999-04-01 1.49 1999-05-01 1.69 1999-06-01 2.24 1999-07-01 2.35 1999-08-01 2.44 1999-09-01 2.84 1999-10-01 3.18 1999-11-01 2.74 1999-12-01 2.59 2000-01-01 2.79 2000-02-01 2.21 2000-03-01 1.89 2000-04-01 1.32 2000-05-01 1.14 2000-06-01 1.15 2000-07-01 0.83 2000-08-01 0.69 2000-09-01 0.95 2000-10-01 0.58 2000-11-01 0.31 2000-12-01 0.06 2001-01-01 -0.11 2001-02-01 0.34 2001-03-01 0.15 2001-04-01 -0.10 2001-05-01 -0.10 2001-06-01 0.04 2001-07-01 0.45 2001-08-01 0.11 2001-09-01 -0.08 2001-10-01 0.76 2001-11-01 0.27 2001-12-01 0.67 2002-01-01 0.83 2002-02-01 0.20 2002-03-01 0.18 2002-04-01 -0.26 2002-05-01 0.22 2002-06-01 0.50 2002-07-01 0.20 2002-08-01 0.63 2002-09-01 0.47 2002-10-01 0.66 2002-11-01 1.00 2002-12-01 0.61 2003-01-01 0.39 2003-02-01 0.66 2003-03-01 0.75 2003-04-01 1.08 2003-05-01 1.38 2003-06-01 1.29 2003-07-01 1.38 2003-08-01 1.43 2003-09-01 1.41 2003-10-01 1.14 2003-11-01 1.02 2003-12-01 0.99 2004-01-01 1.13 2004-02-01 1.31 2004-03-01 1.09 2004-04-01 1.01 2004-05-01 1.60 2004-06-01 1.47 2004-07-01 1.61 2004-08-01 1.73 2004-09-01 1.62 2004-10-01 1.48 2004-11-01 1.47 2004-12-01 0.91 2005-01-01 0.86 2005-02-01 1.50 2005-03-01 1.47 2005-04-01 1.03 2005-05-01 0.73 2005-06-01 0.74 2005-07-01 0.79 2005-08-01 0.91 2005-09-01 0.64 2005-10-01 1.12 2005-11-01 0.86 2005-12-01 1.07 2006-01-01 1.22 2006-02-01 0.71 2006-03-01 0.42 2006-04-01 0.21 2006-05-01 0.88 2006-06-01 0.81 2006-07-01 0.96 2006-08-01 1.20 2006-09-01 0.88 2006-10-01 0.79 2006-11-01 0.76 2006-12-01 0.79 2007-01-01 0.41 2007-02-01 0.02 2007-03-01 0.50 2007-04-01 0.52 2007-05-01 0.32 2007-06-01 0.04 2007-07-01 0.09 2007-08-01 0.37 2007-09-01 0.26 2007-10-01 0.67 2007-11-01 0.60 2007-12-01 0.54 2008-01-01 0.24 2008-02-01 -0.79 2008-03-01 -1.04 2008-04-01 -1.12 2008-05-01 -1.12 2008-06-01 -1.13 2008-07-01 -1.89 2008-08-01 -1.99 2008-09-01 -2.50 2008-10-01 -3.45 2008-11-01 -3.47 2008-12-01 -3.00 2009-01-01 -2.77 2009-02-01 -2.93 2009-03-01 -2.27 2009-04-01 -1.66 2009-05-01 -0.92 2009-06-01 -0.96 2009-07-01 0.10 2009-08-01 -0.24 2009-09-01 -0.25 2009-10-01 0.17 2009-11-01 0.24 2009-12-01 0.01 2010-01-01 0.25 2010-02-01 0.47 2010-03-01 0.62 2010-04-01 0.88 2010-05-01 0.58 2010-06-01 -0.16 2010-07-01 0.56 2010-08-01 0.59 2010-09-01 0.13 2010-10-01 0.29 2010-11-01 0.36 2010-12-01 0.51 2011-01-01 1.18 2011-02-01 1.04 2011-03-01 0.62 2011-04-01 0.54 2011-05-01 0.25 2011-06-01 0.66 2011-07-01 0.94 2011-08-01 2.03 2011-09-01 2.22 2011-10-01 1.71 2011-11-01 1.50 2011-12-01 1.90 2012-01-01 1.58 2012-02-01 1.12 2012-03-01 0.86 2012-04-01 0.98 2012-05-01 1.09 2012-06-01 1.02 2012-07-01 1.17 2012-08-01 2.29 2012-09-01 2.00 2012-10-01 1.55 2012-11-01 2.23 2012-12-01 2.84 2013-01-01 2.82 2013-02-01 2.58 2013-03-01 2.78