Title: Leading Index for Montana Series ID: MTSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-04-01 Last Updated: 2013-05-28 10:17 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -3.54 1982-02-01 -2.25 1982-03-01 -1.99 1982-04-01 -1.19 1982-05-01 -0.84 1982-06-01 0.09 1982-07-01 -0.24 1982-08-01 -0.96 1982-09-01 -0.71 1982-10-01 0.12 1982-11-01 0.08 1982-12-01 0.57 1983-01-01 0.36 1983-02-01 0.15 1983-03-01 1.23 1983-04-01 1.18 1983-05-01 0.38 1983-06-01 0.85 1983-07-01 1.55 1983-08-01 1.59 1983-09-01 1.35 1983-10-01 1.45 1983-11-01 0.90 1983-12-01 0.81 1984-01-01 0.70 1984-02-01 0.16 1984-03-01 0.20 1984-04-01 -0.13 1984-05-01 0.33 1984-06-01 -0.77 1984-07-01 -0.65 1984-08-01 -0.83 1984-09-01 -1.05 1984-10-01 -1.99 1984-11-01 -0.98 1984-12-01 -1.14 1985-01-01 -1.70 1985-02-01 -1.31 1985-03-01 -0.72 1985-04-01 -0.40 1985-05-01 -0.98 1985-06-01 -1.85 1985-07-01 -1.15 1985-08-01 -1.36 1985-09-01 -1.15 1985-10-01 -0.90 1985-11-01 -0.92 1985-12-01 -0.87 1986-01-01 -0.77 1986-02-01 -1.75 1986-03-01 -1.53 1986-04-01 -2.04 1986-05-01 -1.64 1986-06-01 -1.84 1986-07-01 -1.84 1986-08-01 -0.57 1986-09-01 -0.57 1986-10-01 -0.34 1986-11-01 -0.28 1986-12-01 0.26 1987-01-01 -0.27 1987-02-01 -0.12 1987-03-01 -0.24 1987-04-01 -0.47 1987-05-01 -0.97 1987-06-01 -0.65 1987-07-01 -0.52 1987-08-01 -0.27 1987-09-01 0.65 1987-10-01 1.73 1987-11-01 1.41 1987-12-01 2.81 1988-01-01 3.05 1988-02-01 2.36 1988-03-01 1.74 1988-04-01 1.26 1988-05-01 1.56 1988-06-01 1.99 1988-07-01 1.45 1988-08-01 1.64 1988-09-01 2.06 1988-10-01 1.23 1988-11-01 1.49 1988-12-01 0.81 1989-01-01 -0.26 1989-02-01 0.29 1989-03-01 1.15 1989-04-01 2.01 1989-05-01 1.21 1989-06-01 1.10 1989-07-01 0.34 1989-08-01 0.50 1989-09-01 1.01 1989-10-01 0.86 1989-11-01 1.66 1989-12-01 1.42 1990-01-01 1.15 1990-02-01 0.89 1990-03-01 1.37 1990-04-01 1.48 1990-05-01 0.82 1990-06-01 0.35 1990-07-01 -0.30 1990-08-01 0.02 1990-09-01 0.29 1990-10-01 0.53 1990-11-01 0.33 1990-12-01 0.23 1991-01-01 0.25 1991-02-01 1.07 1991-03-01 1.20 1991-04-01 2.19 1991-05-01 3.43 1991-06-01 3.53 1991-07-01 4.40 1991-08-01 4.03 1991-09-01 3.20 1991-10-01 2.60 1991-11-01 2.24 1991-12-01 2.77 1992-01-01 2.64 1992-02-01 3.17 1992-03-01 3.21 1992-04-01 2.76 1992-05-01 2.26 1992-06-01 2.03 1992-07-01 1.42 1992-08-01 1.65 1992-09-01 1.34 1992-10-01 1.66 1992-11-01 2.22 1992-12-01 2.21 1993-01-01 2.19 1993-02-01 2.65 1993-03-01 2.88 1993-04-01 2.73 1993-05-01 2.20 1993-06-01 2.22 1993-07-01 1.41 1993-08-01 2.42 1993-09-01 2.39 1993-10-01 2.36 1993-11-01 2.45 1993-12-01 2.60 1994-01-01 2.39 1994-02-01 2.68 1994-03-01 3.27 1994-04-01 3.24 1994-05-01 2.58 1994-06-01 2.84 1994-07-01 3.10 1994-08-01 2.11 1994-09-01 1.73 1994-10-01 1.48 1994-11-01 1.45 1994-12-01 1.08 1995-01-01 1.26 1995-02-01 1.08 1995-03-01 0.66 1995-04-01 -0.05 1995-05-01 0.36 1995-06-01 1.16 1995-07-01 1.45 1995-08-01 1.37 1995-09-01 1.15 1995-10-01 1.49 1995-11-01 1.36 1995-12-01 2.04 1996-01-01 2.24 1996-02-01 2.18 1996-03-01 2.02 1996-04-01 1.79 1996-05-01 1.82 1996-06-01 1.76 1996-07-01 2.23 1996-08-01 1.99 1996-09-01 0.96 1996-10-01 0.38 1996-11-01 0.69 1996-12-01 0.45 1997-01-01 0.25 1997-02-01 1.01 1997-03-01 1.18 1997-04-01 1.56 1997-05-01 1.45 1997-06-01 1.43 1997-07-01 2.55 1997-08-01 2.03 1997-09-01 2.38 1997-10-01 2.20 1997-11-01 1.85 1997-12-01 1.29 1998-01-01 1.30 1998-02-01 1.09 1998-03-01 1.21 1998-04-01 1.36 1998-05-01 1.28 1998-06-01 1.68 1998-07-01 2.01 1998-08-01 1.57 1998-09-01 1.83 1998-10-01 1.82 1998-11-01 1.90 1998-12-01 1.39 1999-01-01 1.37 1999-02-01 1.24 1999-03-01 1.38 1999-04-01 0.42 1999-05-01 0.02 1999-06-01 1.13 1999-07-01 1.65 1999-08-01 1.19 1999-09-01 1.93 1999-10-01 2.10 1999-11-01 2.68 1999-12-01 2.31 2000-01-01 1.87 2000-02-01 1.45 2000-03-01 1.03 2000-04-01 0.62 2000-05-01 0.28 2000-06-01 -0.33 2000-07-01 0.08 2000-08-01 0.39 2000-09-01 -0.24 2000-10-01 0.05 2000-11-01 0.17 2000-12-01 0.50 2001-01-01 0.35 2001-02-01 0.11 2001-03-01 0.41 2001-04-01 -0.09 2001-05-01 0.69 2001-06-01 0.18 2001-07-01 0.56 2001-08-01 0.64 2001-09-01 0.49 2001-10-01 0.77 2001-11-01 1.11 2001-12-01 1.40 2002-01-01 2.23 2002-02-01 2.08 2002-03-01 0.85 2002-04-01 1.21 2002-05-01 1.96 2002-06-01 1.18 2002-07-01 1.43 2002-08-01 1.67 2002-09-01 1.93 2002-10-01 0.88 2002-11-01 0.90 2002-12-01 0.90 2003-01-01 0.70 2003-02-01 1.07 2003-03-01 1.04 2003-04-01 1.00 2003-05-01 0.91 2003-06-01 1.05 2003-07-01 1.67 2003-08-01 1.55 2003-09-01 1.61 2003-10-01 1.97 2003-11-01 1.76 2003-12-01 1.84 2004-01-01 2.00 2004-02-01 2.95 2004-03-01 2.55 2004-04-01 2.13 2004-05-01 1.95 2004-06-01 1.76 2004-07-01 1.19 2004-08-01 0.98 2004-09-01 1.64 2004-10-01 1.48 2004-11-01 2.04 2004-12-01 2.03 2005-01-01 1.42 2005-02-01 1.28 2005-03-01 1.26 2005-04-01 1.55 2005-05-01 2.20 2005-06-01 2.55 2005-07-01 2.64 2005-08-01 2.04 2005-09-01 2.88 2005-10-01 2.96 2005-11-01 2.22 2005-12-01 2.39 2006-01-01 2.88 2006-02-01 3.12 2006-03-01 2.16 2006-04-01 2.17 2006-05-01 1.84 2006-06-01 1.78 2006-07-01 1.69 2006-08-01 2.14 2006-09-01 1.92 2006-10-01 2.35 2006-11-01 2.15 2006-12-01 2.60 2007-01-01 2.11 2007-02-01 2.21 2007-03-01 1.70 2007-04-01 1.14 2007-05-01 1.01 2007-06-01 0.41 2007-07-01 0.65 2007-08-01 0.74 2007-09-01 0.30 2007-10-01 0.64 2007-11-01 0.44 2007-12-01 0.41 2008-01-01 -0.60 2008-02-01 -0.94 2008-03-01 -1.58 2008-04-01 -2.22 2008-05-01 -2.16 2008-06-01 -2.12 2008-07-01 -1.36 2008-08-01 -1.80 2008-09-01 -2.19 2008-10-01 -2.13 2008-11-01 -2.89 2008-12-01 -3.38 2009-01-01 -3.18 2009-02-01 -2.87 2009-03-01 -2.38 2009-04-01 -1.80 2009-05-01 -1.41 2009-06-01 -1.37 2009-07-01 -0.99 2009-08-01 -1.50 2009-09-01 -0.73 2009-10-01 -0.55 2009-11-01 -0.27 2009-12-01 -0.38 2010-01-01 -0.09 2010-02-01 -0.14 2010-03-01 0.44 2010-04-01 0.20 2010-05-01 0.06 2010-06-01 -0.33 2010-07-01 -0.51 2010-08-01 -0.22 2010-09-01 -0.44 2010-10-01 -0.45 2010-11-01 -0.13 2010-12-01 0.25 2011-01-01 0.88 2011-02-01 0.98 2011-03-01 0.65 2011-04-01 0.65 2011-05-01 0.43 2011-06-01 0.01 2011-07-01 0.72 2011-08-01 1.83 2011-09-01 2.28 2011-10-01 2.32 2011-11-01 2.24 2011-12-01 2.24 2012-01-01 2.09 2012-02-01 1.35 2012-03-01 0.88 2012-04-01 1.19 2012-05-01 0.89 2012-06-01 0.89 2012-07-01 1.14 2012-08-01 1.62 2012-09-01 1.72 2012-10-01 1.62 2012-11-01 1.25 2012-12-01 1.25 2013-01-01 0.70 2013-02-01 1.12 2013-03-01 0.64 2013-04-01 1.42