Title: Leading Index for Missouri Series ID: MOSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:19 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.82 1982-02-01 -0.19 1982-03-01 -0.04 1982-04-01 -0.38 1982-05-01 -0.35 1982-06-01 -0.86 1982-07-01 -1.10 1982-08-01 -1.41 1982-09-01 -1.03 1982-10-01 0.11 1982-11-01 0.35 1982-12-01 0.98 1983-01-01 1.30 1983-02-01 2.29 1983-03-01 2.86 1983-04-01 3.13 1983-05-01 3.60 1983-06-01 4.02 1983-07-01 4.31 1983-08-01 4.85 1983-09-01 4.62 1983-10-01 4.22 1983-11-01 4.30 1983-12-01 4.52 1984-01-01 4.47 1984-02-01 3.75 1984-03-01 3.18 1984-04-01 3.05 1984-05-01 2.89 1984-06-01 2.99 1984-07-01 2.92 1984-08-01 3.31 1984-09-01 2.66 1984-10-01 1.91 1984-11-01 2.00 1984-12-01 2.11 1985-01-01 2.31 1985-02-01 2.46 1985-03-01 2.87 1985-04-01 2.93 1985-05-01 2.59 1985-06-01 2.11 1985-07-01 1.90 1985-08-01 1.99 1985-09-01 1.51 1985-10-01 1.75 1985-11-01 2.21 1985-12-01 2.10 1986-01-01 2.05 1986-02-01 1.65 1986-03-01 2.00 1986-04-01 1.52 1986-05-01 1.57 1986-06-01 1.80 1986-07-01 2.08 1986-08-01 1.85 1986-09-01 1.58 1986-10-01 1.86 1986-11-01 2.10 1986-12-01 1.62 1987-01-01 1.66 1987-02-01 1.66 1987-03-01 1.46 1987-04-01 1.96 1987-05-01 2.20 1987-06-01 2.45 1987-07-01 2.47 1987-08-01 2.40 1987-09-01 2.55 1987-10-01 2.64 1987-11-01 2.10 1987-12-01 2.10 1988-01-01 2.05 1988-02-01 1.65 1988-03-01 1.64 1988-04-01 1.69 1988-05-01 1.67 1988-06-01 1.79 1988-07-01 1.77 1988-08-01 1.64 1988-09-01 2.20 1988-10-01 1.95 1988-11-01 1.60 1988-12-01 1.60 1989-01-01 1.60 1989-02-01 1.20 1989-03-01 1.07 1989-04-01 1.08 1989-05-01 1.20 1989-06-01 1.17 1989-07-01 0.91 1989-08-01 1.15 1989-09-01 1.51 1989-10-01 1.31 1989-11-01 1.26 1989-12-01 1.23 1990-01-01 0.91 1990-02-01 0.79 1990-03-01 0.42 1990-04-01 -0.05 1990-05-01 -0.19 1990-06-01 -0.88 1990-07-01 -1.57 1990-08-01 -1.72 1990-09-01 -2.23 1990-10-01 -2.40 1990-11-01 -1.97 1990-12-01 -2.02 1991-01-01 -1.86 1991-02-01 -0.56 1991-03-01 0.22 1991-04-01 0.80 1991-05-01 1.61 1991-06-01 1.65 1991-07-01 1.39 1991-08-01 1.28 1991-09-01 1.16 1991-10-01 0.90 1991-11-01 0.91 1991-12-01 1.27 1992-01-01 1.33 1992-02-01 1.54 1992-03-01 1.48 1992-04-01 1.62 1992-05-01 1.85 1992-06-01 1.60 1992-07-01 1.49 1992-08-01 1.37 1992-09-01 1.33 1992-10-01 1.37 1992-11-01 1.45 1992-12-01 1.60 1993-01-01 1.98 1993-02-01 2.27 1993-03-01 2.74 1993-04-01 2.91 1993-05-01 2.49 1993-06-01 2.67 1993-07-01 2.86 1993-08-01 2.65 1993-09-01 2.90 1993-10-01 2.88 1993-11-01 2.55 1993-12-01 2.36 1994-01-01 2.54 1994-02-01 2.73 1994-03-01 2.80 1994-04-01 2.97 1994-05-01 2.83 1994-06-01 2.85 1994-07-01 2.26 1994-08-01 2.08 1994-09-01 2.14 1994-10-01 1.90 1994-11-01 1.50 1994-12-01 1.16 1995-01-01 0.73 1995-02-01 1.07 1995-03-01 0.98 1995-04-01 0.81 1995-05-01 1.42 1995-06-01 1.75 1995-07-01 1.74 1995-08-01 1.83 1995-09-01 1.54 1995-10-01 1.45 1995-11-01 1.23 1995-12-01 1.02 1996-01-01 1.03 1996-02-01 1.26 1996-03-01 1.61 1996-04-01 1.55 1996-05-01 1.82 1996-06-01 1.95 1996-07-01 2.19 1996-08-01 2.44 1996-09-01 2.43 1996-10-01 2.23 1996-11-01 2.79 1996-12-01 2.75 1997-01-01 2.71 1997-02-01 2.33 1997-03-01 2.28 1997-04-01 2.13 1997-05-01 1.59 1997-06-01 1.48 1997-07-01 1.64 1997-08-01 1.61 1997-09-01 1.65 1997-10-01 1.52 1997-11-01 1.46 1997-12-01 1.42 1998-01-01 1.36 1998-02-01 1.49 1998-03-01 1.53 1998-04-01 2.04 1998-05-01 1.53 1998-06-01 1.54 1998-07-01 1.32 1998-08-01 1.31 1998-09-01 1.60 1998-10-01 1.83 1998-11-01 1.59 1998-12-01 1.53 1999-01-01 1.04 1999-02-01 1.09 1999-03-01 1.10 1999-04-01 1.14 1999-05-01 1.32 1999-06-01 1.72 1999-07-01 2.16 1999-08-01 1.59 1999-09-01 1.78 1999-10-01 1.51 1999-11-01 0.90 1999-12-01 0.59 2000-01-01 0.43 2000-02-01 0.29 2000-03-01 0.32 2000-04-01 -0.15 2000-05-01 -0.08 2000-06-01 -0.11 2000-07-01 -0.31 2000-08-01 -0.52 2000-09-01 -0.52 2000-10-01 -0.29 2000-11-01 -0.51 2000-12-01 -0.31 2001-01-01 -0.31 2001-02-01 -0.49 2001-03-01 -0.50 2001-04-01 -0.84 2001-05-01 -0.43 2001-06-01 -0.83 2001-07-01 -1.00 2001-08-01 -0.68 2001-09-01 -0.64 2001-10-01 -0.44 2001-11-01 -0.17 2001-12-01 -0.19 2002-01-01 -0.23 2002-02-01 -0.36 2002-03-01 -0.68 2002-04-01 -0.25 2002-05-01 -0.01 2002-06-01 -0.02 2002-07-01 0.20 2002-08-01 0.43 2002-09-01 -0.06 2002-10-01 0.04 2002-11-01 0.04 2002-12-01 -0.19 2003-01-01 -0.25 2003-02-01 -0.56 2003-03-01 -0.18 2003-04-01 -0.29 2003-05-01 -0.06 2003-06-01 0.57 2003-07-01 0.82 2003-08-01 1.17 2003-09-01 0.90 2003-10-01 0.85 2003-11-01 0.54 2003-12-01 0.60 2004-01-01 0.79 2004-02-01 0.69 2004-03-01 0.78 2004-04-01 0.87 2004-05-01 1.04 2004-06-01 1.00 2004-07-01 1.34 2004-08-01 1.02 2004-09-01 0.97 2004-10-01 1.24 2004-11-01 1.27 2004-12-01 1.37 2005-01-01 1.69 2005-02-01 1.94 2005-03-01 1.70 2005-04-01 1.22 2005-05-01 1.01 2005-06-01 1.11 2005-07-01 1.00 2005-08-01 1.18 2005-09-01 0.98 2005-10-01 1.13 2005-11-01 1.50 2005-12-01 1.88 2006-01-01 1.22 2006-02-01 0.68 2006-03-01 0.72 2006-04-01 0.37 2006-05-01 0.21 2006-06-01 0.34 2006-07-01 0.66 2006-08-01 1.22 2006-09-01 1.22 2006-10-01 1.10 2006-11-01 1.23 2006-12-01 1.02 2007-01-01 0.75 2007-02-01 0.71 2007-03-01 0.40 2007-04-01 0.07 2007-05-01 -0.01 2007-06-01 0.27 2007-07-01 0.01 2007-08-01 0.64 2007-09-01 0.21 2007-10-01 0.26 2007-11-01 0.63 2007-12-01 -0.11 2008-01-01 0.00 2008-02-01 -0.40 2008-03-01 -0.71 2008-04-01 -1.00 2008-05-01 -0.99 2008-06-01 -0.90 2008-07-01 -1.14 2008-08-01 -1.46 2008-09-01 -2.20 2008-10-01 -3.33 2008-11-01 -4.14 2008-12-01 -5.21 2009-01-01 -5.34 2009-02-01 -1.90 2009-03-01 -2.88 2009-04-01 -3.20 2009-05-01 -2.55 2009-06-01 -1.60 2009-07-01 -1.28 2009-08-01 -1.14 2009-09-01 -0.81 2009-10-01 -0.43 2009-11-01 -0.48 2009-12-01 -0.07 2010-01-01 0.35 2010-02-01 0.76 2010-03-01 0.86 2010-04-01 0.58 2010-05-01 0.53 2010-06-01 0.26 2010-07-01 -0.04 2010-08-01 0.56 2010-09-01 0.09 2010-10-01 0.20 2010-11-01 0.42 2010-12-01 0.39 2011-01-01 0.84 2011-02-01 0.95 2011-03-01 0.67 2011-04-01 0.54 2011-05-01 0.28 2011-06-01 0.52 2011-07-01 1.01 2011-08-01 1.37 2011-09-01 1.54 2011-10-01 1.43 2011-11-01 1.51 2011-12-01 1.37 2012-01-01 0.84 2012-02-01 0.75 2012-03-01 0.56 2012-04-01 0.45 2012-05-01 0.72 2012-06-01 0.84 2012-07-01 0.96 2012-08-01 1.40 2012-09-01 1.22 2012-10-01 0.99 2012-11-01 1.09 2012-12-01 0.94 2013-01-01 0.71 2013-02-01 0.77 2013-03-01 0.78