Title: Leading Index for Minnesota Series ID: MNSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:22 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.75 1982-02-01 0.17 1982-03-01 -0.69 1982-04-01 -1.11 1982-05-01 -0.73 1982-06-01 -0.53 1982-07-01 -1.31 1982-08-01 -1.43 1982-09-01 -0.43 1982-10-01 0.33 1982-11-01 0.62 1982-12-01 1.24 1983-01-01 1.97 1983-02-01 1.79 1983-03-01 1.78 1983-04-01 2.64 1983-05-01 2.72 1983-06-01 2.99 1983-07-01 3.80 1983-08-01 3.26 1983-09-01 3.52 1983-10-01 3.48 1983-11-01 3.35 1983-12-01 3.22 1984-01-01 3.49 1984-02-01 3.39 1984-03-01 3.81 1984-04-01 3.51 1984-05-01 2.93 1984-06-01 2.47 1984-07-01 2.30 1984-08-01 2.71 1984-09-01 2.01 1984-10-01 1.83 1984-11-01 1.58 1984-12-01 1.41 1985-01-01 1.14 1985-02-01 1.31 1985-03-01 1.14 1985-04-01 1.14 1985-05-01 1.73 1985-06-01 1.57 1985-07-01 1.28 1985-08-01 1.43 1985-09-01 1.77 1985-10-01 1.43 1985-11-01 1.38 1985-12-01 0.93 1986-01-01 1.15 1986-02-01 1.27 1986-03-01 1.44 1986-04-01 1.72 1986-05-01 2.06 1986-06-01 1.93 1986-07-01 2.47 1986-08-01 2.26 1986-09-01 1.98 1986-10-01 1.55 1986-11-01 1.36 1986-12-01 2.18 1987-01-01 2.54 1987-02-01 2.58 1987-03-01 2.42 1987-04-01 2.30 1987-05-01 1.82 1987-06-01 2.01 1987-07-01 2.45 1987-08-01 2.55 1987-09-01 2.59 1987-10-01 2.43 1987-11-01 2.50 1987-12-01 2.09 1988-01-01 1.47 1988-02-01 1.49 1988-03-01 1.54 1988-04-01 1.71 1988-05-01 1.41 1988-06-01 2.54 1988-07-01 1.91 1988-08-01 1.35 1988-09-01 1.02 1988-10-01 1.54 1988-11-01 1.70 1988-12-01 2.05 1989-01-01 1.76 1989-02-01 1.80 1989-03-01 1.25 1989-04-01 1.20 1989-05-01 1.14 1989-06-01 1.02 1989-07-01 1.01 1989-08-01 0.99 1989-09-01 1.18 1989-10-01 1.34 1989-11-01 1.44 1989-12-01 1.69 1990-01-01 1.95 1990-02-01 1.68 1990-03-01 1.69 1990-04-01 1.14 1990-05-01 1.06 1990-06-01 1.27 1990-07-01 1.04 1990-08-01 1.32 1990-09-01 0.90 1990-10-01 0.52 1990-11-01 0.93 1990-12-01 0.53 1991-01-01 0.30 1991-02-01 0.14 1991-03-01 0.08 1991-04-01 0.44 1991-05-01 0.92 1991-06-01 1.47 1991-07-01 1.42 1991-08-01 1.68 1991-09-01 1.45 1991-10-01 1.69 1991-11-01 1.38 1991-12-01 1.23 1992-01-01 1.61 1992-02-01 1.69 1992-03-01 2.00 1992-04-01 2.12 1992-05-01 2.52 1992-06-01 1.92 1992-07-01 2.23 1992-08-01 1.72 1992-09-01 1.92 1992-10-01 1.74 1992-11-01 1.98 1992-12-01 2.28 1993-01-01 2.00 1993-02-01 1.90 1993-03-01 1.91 1993-04-01 1.71 1993-05-01 1.63 1993-06-01 1.26 1993-07-01 1.72 1993-08-01 1.63 1993-09-01 2.09 1993-10-01 2.04 1993-11-01 2.05 1993-12-01 2.04 1994-01-01 1.99 1994-02-01 2.34 1994-03-01 2.34 1994-04-01 2.68 1994-05-01 2.50 1994-06-01 2.41 1994-07-01 2.19 1994-08-01 2.02 1994-09-01 2.60 1994-10-01 2.57 1994-11-01 2.44 1994-12-01 2.32 1995-01-01 2.14 1995-02-01 2.05 1995-03-01 1.31 1995-04-01 0.94 1995-05-01 1.02 1995-06-01 1.77 1995-07-01 1.63 1995-08-01 1.52 1995-09-01 1.35 1995-10-01 1.60 1995-11-01 1.74 1995-12-01 1.59 1996-01-01 1.78 1996-02-01 1.53 1996-03-01 1.69 1996-04-01 1.27 1996-05-01 1.44 1996-06-01 1.81 1996-07-01 1.87 1996-08-01 2.05 1996-09-01 1.53 1996-10-01 1.60 1996-11-01 1.98 1996-12-01 1.45 1997-01-01 1.06 1997-02-01 1.52 1997-03-01 1.83 1997-04-01 1.86 1997-05-01 2.13 1997-06-01 2.02 1997-07-01 3.00 1997-08-01 2.69 1997-09-01 2.78 1997-10-01 2.83 1997-11-01 2.42 1997-12-01 2.21 1998-01-01 2.07 1998-02-01 1.88 1998-03-01 1.86 1998-04-01 1.91 1998-05-01 2.03 1998-06-01 1.71 1998-07-01 0.84 1998-08-01 0.97 1998-09-01 0.64 1998-10-01 1.06 1998-11-01 1.18 1998-12-01 2.01 1999-01-01 2.07 1999-02-01 1.94 1999-03-01 2.06 1999-04-01 1.63 1999-05-01 2.00 1999-06-01 1.86 1999-07-01 2.20 1999-08-01 1.92 1999-09-01 2.04 1999-10-01 1.95 1999-11-01 1.70 1999-12-01 1.72 2000-01-01 1.27 2000-02-01 1.76 2000-03-01 2.25 2000-04-01 2.03 2000-05-01 1.41 2000-06-01 1.33 2000-07-01 1.30 2000-08-01 1.36 2000-09-01 0.88 2000-10-01 0.65 2000-11-01 0.82 2000-12-01 0.93 2001-01-01 0.54 2001-02-01 0.59 2001-03-01 -0.05 2001-04-01 -0.21 2001-05-01 -0.64 2001-06-01 -0.11 2001-07-01 0.03 2001-08-01 0.06 2001-09-01 0.26 2001-10-01 0.28 2001-11-01 0.38 2001-12-01 0.05 2002-01-01 0.71 2002-02-01 0.75 2002-03-01 0.75 2002-04-01 0.77 2002-05-01 0.74 2002-06-01 1.13 2002-07-01 1.69 2002-08-01 1.29 2002-09-01 1.27 2002-10-01 0.65 2002-11-01 0.94 2002-12-01 0.68 2003-01-01 0.85 2003-02-01 0.96 2003-03-01 0.53 2003-04-01 0.53 2003-05-01 0.89 2003-06-01 0.78 2003-07-01 0.88 2003-08-01 1.45 2003-09-01 1.45 2003-10-01 1.23 2003-11-01 0.95 2003-12-01 1.49 2004-01-01 1.28 2004-02-01 1.50 2004-03-01 2.21 2004-04-01 2.19 2004-05-01 2.26 2004-06-01 1.80 2004-07-01 1.23 2004-08-01 0.84 2004-09-01 0.99 2004-10-01 1.43 2004-11-01 1.09 2004-12-01 0.69 2005-01-01 0.42 2005-02-01 0.17 2005-03-01 0.88 2005-04-01 1.22 2005-05-01 1.76 2005-06-01 1.57 2005-07-01 1.57 2005-08-01 1.48 2005-09-01 1.85 2005-10-01 1.81 2005-11-01 1.40 2005-12-01 1.27 2006-01-01 1.77 2006-02-01 1.34 2006-03-01 1.22 2006-04-01 0.25 2006-05-01 -0.21 2006-06-01 0.26 2006-07-01 0.43 2006-08-01 0.58 2006-09-01 0.77 2006-10-01 0.64 2006-11-01 0.71 2006-12-01 1.31 2007-01-01 1.48 2007-02-01 1.28 2007-03-01 0.78 2007-04-01 0.38 2007-05-01 0.35 2007-06-01 0.99 2007-07-01 0.95 2007-08-01 0.77 2007-09-01 0.47 2007-10-01 0.32 2007-11-01 0.86 2007-12-01 0.76 2008-01-01 1.02 2008-02-01 0.63 2008-03-01 0.45 2008-04-01 0.36 2008-05-01 0.08 2008-06-01 0.49 2008-07-01 0.30 2008-08-01 0.18 2008-09-01 -0.19 2008-10-01 -0.23 2008-11-01 -1.26 2008-12-01 -1.74 2009-01-01 -2.18 2009-02-01 -2.22 2009-03-01 -2.31 2009-04-01 -1.64 2009-05-01 -0.68 2009-06-01 -0.66 2009-07-01 0.22 2009-08-01 0.17 2009-09-01 0.67 2009-10-01 1.01 2009-11-01 0.78 2009-12-01 1.16 2010-01-01 0.97 2010-02-01 1.20 2010-03-01 1.54 2010-04-01 1.68 2010-05-01 2.04 2010-06-01 1.61 2010-07-01 1.47 2010-08-01 1.17 2010-09-01 1.25 2010-10-01 1.74 2010-11-01 1.74 2010-12-01 1.55 2011-01-01 1.54 2011-02-01 1.55 2011-03-01 1.28 2011-04-01 1.31 2011-05-01 1.60 2011-06-01 1.36 2011-07-01 1.05 2011-08-01 1.79 2011-09-01 1.55 2011-10-01 1.77 2011-11-01 1.28 2011-12-01 1.37 2012-01-01 1.52 2012-02-01 1.24 2012-03-01 1.82 2012-04-01 1.52 2012-05-01 1.38 2012-06-01 1.18 2012-07-01 0.92 2012-08-01 1.22 2012-09-01 1.14 2012-10-01 0.58 2012-11-01 1.08 2012-12-01 1.94 2013-01-01 2.79 2013-02-01 2.23 2013-03-01 1.68