Title: Leading Index for Maryland Series ID: MDSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:21 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -1.56 1982-02-01 -1.01 1982-03-01 -0.78 1982-04-01 -0.38 1982-05-01 -0.13 1982-06-01 0.06 1982-07-01 0.43 1982-08-01 0.89 1982-09-01 1.37 1982-10-01 1.90 1982-11-01 2.51 1982-12-01 2.72 1983-01-01 3.59 1983-02-01 3.94 1983-03-01 4.45 1983-04-01 4.65 1983-05-01 4.80 1983-06-01 4.88 1983-07-01 4.77 1983-08-01 4.69 1983-09-01 5.05 1983-10-01 5.32 1983-11-01 6.02 1983-12-01 7.81 1984-01-01 5.00 1984-02-01 4.61 1984-03-01 4.14 1984-04-01 3.87 1984-05-01 3.77 1984-06-01 3.72 1984-07-01 3.58 1984-08-01 3.43 1984-09-01 3.54 1984-10-01 3.40 1984-11-01 3.63 1984-12-01 3.49 1985-01-01 3.12 1985-02-01 2.96 1985-03-01 3.00 1985-04-01 3.19 1985-05-01 3.38 1985-06-01 3.06 1985-07-01 3.13 1985-08-01 3.50 1985-09-01 3.13 1985-10-01 3.20 1985-11-01 2.93 1985-12-01 2.96 1986-01-01 2.97 1986-02-01 2.78 1986-03-01 2.97 1986-04-01 2.86 1986-05-01 2.83 1986-06-01 2.82 1986-07-01 2.76 1986-08-01 3.19 1986-09-01 3.18 1986-10-01 3.34 1986-11-01 3.21 1986-12-01 3.34 1987-01-01 3.45 1987-02-01 3.61 1987-03-01 3.43 1987-04-01 3.36 1987-05-01 2.98 1987-06-01 3.30 1987-07-01 3.02 1987-08-01 2.99 1987-09-01 2.94 1987-10-01 2.73 1987-11-01 2.67 1987-12-01 2.72 1988-01-01 2.83 1988-02-01 2.91 1988-03-01 2.61 1988-04-01 2.47 1988-05-01 2.36 1988-06-01 2.42 1988-07-01 2.47 1988-08-01 2.70 1988-09-01 2.41 1988-10-01 2.34 1988-11-01 2.13 1988-12-01 1.80 1989-01-01 1.71 1989-02-01 1.42 1989-03-01 1.09 1989-04-01 1.04 1989-05-01 1.18 1989-06-01 1.24 1989-07-01 1.34 1989-08-01 1.66 1989-09-01 1.57 1989-10-01 1.51 1989-11-01 1.36 1989-12-01 1.14 1990-01-01 0.93 1990-02-01 0.42 1990-03-01 -0.20 1990-04-01 -1.07 1990-05-01 -2.73 1990-06-01 -4.47 1990-07-01 -2.70 1990-08-01 -2.95 1990-09-01 -3.44 1990-10-01 -3.60 1990-11-01 -3.65 1990-12-01 -3.65 1991-01-01 -3.26 1991-02-01 -2.49 1991-03-01 -1.96 1991-04-01 -1.24 1991-05-01 -1.14 1991-06-01 -0.62 1991-07-01 -0.52 1991-08-01 -0.90 1991-09-01 -1.26 1991-10-01 -1.37 1991-11-01 -1.16 1991-12-01 -0.85 1992-01-01 -0.63 1992-02-01 -0.06 1992-03-01 0.49 1992-04-01 1.04 1992-05-01 1.30 1992-06-01 0.86 1992-07-01 0.78 1992-08-01 1.08 1992-09-01 0.92 1992-10-01 0.99 1992-11-01 0.81 1992-12-01 0.95 1993-01-01 1.20 1993-02-01 1.19 1993-03-01 1.53 1993-04-01 1.98 1993-05-01 1.76 1993-06-01 1.80 1993-07-01 1.91 1993-08-01 2.22 1993-09-01 2.25 1993-10-01 1.92 1993-11-01 1.65 1993-12-01 1.80 1994-01-01 2.04 1994-02-01 2.27 1994-03-01 2.32 1994-04-01 2.27 1994-05-01 2.26 1994-06-01 2.14 1994-07-01 1.96 1994-08-01 2.13 1994-09-01 1.88 1994-10-01 1.45 1994-11-01 1.48 1994-12-01 1.08 1995-01-01 0.77 1995-02-01 0.44 1995-03-01 0.42 1995-04-01 0.55 1995-05-01 0.30 1995-06-01 0.47 1995-07-01 0.48 1995-08-01 0.63 1995-09-01 0.84 1995-10-01 0.95 1995-11-01 1.11 1995-12-01 1.23 1996-01-01 1.37 1996-02-01 1.63 1996-03-01 1.79 1996-04-01 2.23 1996-05-01 2.38 1996-06-01 2.49 1996-07-01 2.31 1996-08-01 2.36 1996-09-01 1.97 1996-10-01 1.74 1996-11-01 1.91 1996-12-01 1.89 1997-01-01 2.05 1997-02-01 2.15 1997-03-01 2.09 1997-04-01 2.24 1997-05-01 2.42 1997-06-01 1.95 1997-07-01 2.10 1997-08-01 2.37 1997-09-01 2.47 1997-10-01 2.20 1997-11-01 2.43 1997-12-01 2.33 1998-01-01 2.37 1998-02-01 1.94 1998-03-01 1.94 1998-04-01 1.91 1998-05-01 2.04 1998-06-01 2.50 1998-07-01 2.51 1998-08-01 2.71 1998-09-01 2.79 1998-10-01 2.97 1998-11-01 2.75 1998-12-01 2.57 1999-01-01 2.69 1999-02-01 2.31 1999-03-01 2.20 1999-04-01 2.46 1999-05-01 2.59 1999-06-01 2.18 1999-07-01 2.14 1999-08-01 2.26 1999-09-01 2.44 1999-10-01 2.39 1999-11-01 2.15 1999-12-01 2.22 2000-01-01 1.83 2000-02-01 1.66 2000-03-01 1.64 2000-04-01 1.24 2000-05-01 1.27 2000-06-01 1.19 2000-07-01 1.57 2000-08-01 1.67 2000-09-01 1.24 2000-10-01 1.23 2000-11-01 0.84 2000-12-01 0.53 2001-01-01 0.02 2001-02-01 -0.14 2001-03-01 -0.11 2001-04-01 -0.04 2001-05-01 -0.03 2001-06-01 -0.18 2001-07-01 -0.45 2001-08-01 -0.02 2001-09-01 0.30 2001-10-01 0.37 2001-11-01 0.74 2001-12-01 0.69 2002-01-01 0.57 2002-02-01 0.44 2002-03-01 0.39 2002-04-01 0.80 2002-05-01 0.86 2002-06-01 0.55 2002-07-01 0.64 2002-08-01 0.42 2002-09-01 0.44 2002-10-01 0.46 2002-11-01 0.50 2002-12-01 0.63 2003-01-01 0.59 2003-02-01 0.51 2003-03-01 0.81 2003-04-01 0.71 2003-05-01 1.04 2003-06-01 1.15 2003-07-01 1.43 2003-08-01 1.48 2003-09-01 1.72 2003-10-01 1.60 2003-11-01 1.74 2003-12-01 1.52 2004-01-01 1.51 2004-02-01 1.01 2004-03-01 1.19 2004-04-01 1.09 2004-05-01 1.07 2004-06-01 1.11 2004-07-01 1.23 2004-08-01 1.28 2004-09-01 1.20 2004-10-01 1.06 2004-11-01 1.14 2004-12-01 1.29 2005-01-01 1.36 2005-02-01 1.46 2005-03-01 1.15 2005-04-01 1.32 2005-05-01 1.47 2005-06-01 1.74 2005-07-01 1.44 2005-08-01 1.45 2005-09-01 1.68 2005-10-01 1.50 2005-11-01 1.45 2005-12-01 1.34 2006-01-01 0.98 2006-02-01 0.78 2006-03-01 0.47 2006-04-01 -0.01 2006-05-01 0.44 2006-06-01 0.41 2006-07-01 0.72 2006-08-01 0.91 2006-09-01 0.80 2006-10-01 1.20 2006-11-01 1.26 2006-12-01 1.12 2007-01-01 1.02 2007-02-01 0.93 2007-03-01 0.54 2007-04-01 0.33 2007-05-01 0.26 2007-06-01 0.15 2007-07-01 0.58 2007-08-01 0.60 2007-09-01 0.71 2007-10-01 0.57 2007-11-01 0.25 2007-12-01 0.06 2008-01-01 -0.37 2008-02-01 -1.02 2008-03-01 -1.41 2008-04-01 -1.66 2008-05-01 -2.14 2008-06-01 -2.14 2008-07-01 -2.48 2008-08-01 -3.00 2008-09-01 -3.22 2008-10-01 -3.58 2008-11-01 -3.73 2008-12-01 -3.73 2009-01-01 -3.47 2009-02-01 -3.32 2009-03-01 -2.89 2009-04-01 -2.18 2009-05-01 -2.10 2009-06-01 -1.68 2009-07-01 -1.31 2009-08-01 -1.31 2009-09-01 -1.09 2009-10-01 -0.74 2009-11-01 -0.34 2009-12-01 0.62 2010-01-01 0.92 2010-02-01 0.99 2010-03-01 0.98 2010-04-01 1.30 2010-05-01 1.13 2010-06-01 0.91 2010-07-01 0.95 2010-08-01 1.04 2010-09-01 1.19 2010-10-01 1.57 2010-11-01 1.60 2010-12-01 1.22 2011-01-01 1.30 2011-02-01 1.18 2011-03-01 0.71 2011-04-01 0.39 2011-05-01 0.44 2011-06-01 0.72 2011-07-01 1.27 2011-08-01 1.42 2011-09-01 1.93 2011-10-01 1.78 2011-11-01 1.97 2011-12-01 1.73 2012-01-01 1.50 2012-02-01 1.09 2012-03-01 0.83 2012-04-01 0.91 2012-05-01 0.65 2012-06-01 0.87 2012-07-01 1.38 2012-08-01 1.27 2012-09-01 1.53 2012-10-01 1.61 2012-11-01 1.53 2012-12-01 1.65 2013-01-01 1.86 2013-02-01 1.64 2013-03-01 1.71