Title: Leading Index for Idaho Series ID: IDSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:19 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -3.15 1982-02-01 -1.73 1982-03-01 -1.61 1982-04-01 -1.53 1982-05-01 -1.70 1982-06-01 -1.11 1982-07-01 -1.39 1982-08-01 -0.81 1982-09-01 -0.01 1982-10-01 0.98 1982-11-01 2.76 1982-12-01 3.13 1983-01-01 3.58 1983-02-01 4.26 1983-03-01 4.29 1983-04-01 3.62 1983-05-01 3.68 1983-06-01 3.75 1983-07-01 3.34 1983-08-01 4.04 1983-09-01 4.39 1983-10-01 3.51 1983-11-01 3.74 1983-12-01 2.57 1984-01-01 2.66 1984-02-01 3.02 1984-03-01 2.69 1984-04-01 2.61 1984-05-01 2.05 1984-06-01 1.65 1984-07-01 1.78 1984-08-01 1.79 1984-09-01 1.75 1984-10-01 1.49 1984-11-01 1.52 1984-12-01 1.49 1985-01-01 1.65 1985-02-01 0.69 1985-03-01 0.39 1985-04-01 0.52 1985-05-01 -0.32 1985-06-01 -0.26 1985-07-01 -0.70 1985-08-01 -1.09 1985-09-01 -1.13 1985-10-01 -1.79 1985-11-01 -2.53 1985-12-01 -1.55 1986-01-01 -1.65 1986-02-01 -1.50 1986-03-01 -1.61 1986-04-01 -1.11 1986-05-01 -1.14 1986-06-01 -0.27 1986-07-01 -0.23 1986-08-01 0.22 1986-09-01 0.65 1986-10-01 1.26 1986-11-01 1.88 1986-12-01 1.78 1987-01-01 1.97 1987-02-01 2.58 1987-03-01 2.29 1987-04-01 2.35 1987-05-01 2.32 1987-06-01 2.51 1987-07-01 2.22 1987-08-01 2.65 1987-09-01 3.24 1987-10-01 3.64 1987-11-01 4.67 1987-12-01 4.17 1988-01-01 4.84 1988-02-01 4.40 1988-03-01 3.82 1988-04-01 4.36 1988-05-01 4.07 1988-06-01 3.41 1988-07-01 3.34 1988-08-01 4.03 1988-09-01 4.44 1988-10-01 3.96 1988-11-01 3.25 1988-12-01 3.35 1989-01-01 3.18 1989-02-01 3.27 1989-03-01 2.90 1989-04-01 2.62 1989-05-01 3.06 1989-06-01 3.13 1989-07-01 3.10 1989-08-01 3.72 1989-09-01 4.53 1989-10-01 4.31 1989-11-01 4.38 1989-12-01 4.37 1990-01-01 4.26 1990-02-01 4.22 1990-03-01 3.75 1990-04-01 3.33 1990-05-01 2.95 1990-06-01 2.62 1990-07-01 2.31 1990-08-01 2.04 1990-09-01 0.62 1990-10-01 0.54 1990-11-01 1.13 1990-12-01 2.39 1991-01-01 2.28 1991-02-01 2.39 1991-03-01 3.38 1991-04-01 3.72 1991-05-01 4.24 1991-06-01 4.04 1991-07-01 3.13 1991-08-01 2.95 1991-09-01 2.89 1991-10-01 3.09 1991-11-01 2.80 1991-12-01 3.88 1992-01-01 4.43 1992-02-01 3.78 1992-03-01 3.97 1992-04-01 4.24 1992-05-01 3.21 1992-06-01 3.46 1992-07-01 3.52 1992-08-01 3.09 1992-09-01 2.84 1992-10-01 3.16 1992-11-01 2.68 1992-12-01 3.04 1993-01-01 4.02 1993-02-01 4.15 1993-03-01 4.48 1993-04-01 4.78 1993-05-01 5.38 1993-06-01 5.40 1993-07-01 5.40 1993-08-01 5.23 1993-09-01 5.28 1993-10-01 5.23 1993-11-01 4.58 1993-12-01 4.61 1994-01-01 5.04 1994-02-01 5.58 1994-03-01 5.04 1994-04-01 3.99 1994-05-01 3.82 1994-06-01 2.67 1994-07-01 2.68 1994-08-01 2.87 1994-09-01 3.04 1994-10-01 3.14 1994-11-01 3.39 1994-12-01 2.94 1995-01-01 2.59 1995-02-01 1.48 1995-03-01 1.31 1995-04-01 1.08 1995-05-01 1.72 1995-06-01 2.50 1995-07-01 2.42 1995-08-01 2.60 1995-09-01 2.64 1995-10-01 2.10 1995-11-01 1.82 1995-12-01 1.83 1996-01-01 1.85 1996-02-01 2.28 1996-03-01 2.48 1996-04-01 2.28 1996-05-01 2.32 1996-06-01 2.27 1996-07-01 2.32 1996-08-01 2.54 1996-09-01 2.47 1996-10-01 2.00 1996-11-01 2.70 1996-12-01 3.76 1997-01-01 3.32 1997-02-01 2.46 1997-03-01 3.14 1997-04-01 3.41 1997-05-01 3.36 1997-06-01 2.87 1997-07-01 2.90 1997-08-01 2.10 1997-09-01 2.29 1997-10-01 2.50 1997-11-01 2.37 1997-12-01 1.80 1998-01-01 1.77 1998-02-01 2.50 1998-03-01 2.25 1998-04-01 2.33 1998-05-01 2.60 1998-06-01 2.88 1998-07-01 3.29 1998-08-01 3.19 1998-09-01 3.71 1998-10-01 3.55 1998-11-01 3.07 1998-12-01 3.03 1999-01-01 2.34 1999-02-01 2.57 1999-03-01 2.60 1999-04-01 2.46 1999-05-01 3.25 1999-06-01 4.71 1999-07-01 4.24 1999-08-01 3.97 1999-09-01 4.71 1999-10-01 4.36 1999-11-01 4.09 1999-12-01 3.50 2000-01-01 3.66 2000-02-01 3.07 2000-03-01 1.58 2000-04-01 1.54 2000-05-01 1.76 2000-06-01 1.17 2000-07-01 1.46 2000-08-01 1.56 2000-09-01 1.51 2000-10-01 1.70 2000-11-01 1.14 2000-12-01 0.17 2001-01-01 0.88 2001-02-01 0.47 2001-03-01 -0.27 2001-04-01 -0.52 2001-05-01 -0.49 2001-06-01 -1.05 2001-07-01 -1.35 2001-08-01 -1.04 2001-09-01 -0.75 2001-10-01 -0.16 2001-11-01 0.47 2001-12-01 0.49 2002-01-01 1.06 2002-02-01 1.08 2002-03-01 1.40 2002-04-01 1.63 2002-05-01 2.06 2002-06-01 1.67 2002-07-01 1.39 2002-08-01 1.38 2002-09-01 1.27 2002-10-01 0.86 2002-11-01 0.44 2002-12-01 0.62 2003-01-01 0.32 2003-02-01 -0.51 2003-03-01 0.07 2003-04-01 0.52 2003-05-01 1.10 2003-06-01 1.37 2003-07-01 1.69 2003-08-01 2.70 2003-09-01 3.21 2003-10-01 2.95 2003-11-01 2.72 2003-12-01 2.98 2004-01-01 3.41 2004-02-01 3.21 2004-03-01 3.26 2004-04-01 2.69 2004-05-01 2.61 2004-06-01 2.67 2004-07-01 3.23 2004-08-01 3.08 2004-09-01 3.10 2004-10-01 3.18 2004-11-01 2.80 2004-12-01 3.06 2005-01-01 3.61 2005-02-01 2.82 2005-03-01 2.72 2005-04-01 3.69 2005-05-01 3.53 2005-06-01 3.37 2005-07-01 3.74 2005-08-01 4.18 2005-09-01 3.95 2005-10-01 4.00 2005-11-01 4.87 2005-12-01 4.16 2006-01-01 4.05 2006-02-01 3.98 2006-03-01 3.14 2006-04-01 2.94 2006-05-01 2.47 2006-06-01 2.61 2006-07-01 2.67 2006-08-01 3.56 2006-09-01 2.98 2006-10-01 2.75 2006-11-01 3.04 2006-12-01 2.00 2007-01-01 1.64 2007-02-01 1.15 2007-03-01 0.35 2007-04-01 0.08 2007-05-01 0.25 2007-06-01 -0.43 2007-07-01 -0.44 2007-08-01 -0.82 2007-09-01 -0.81 2007-10-01 -0.67 2007-11-01 -1.30 2007-12-01 -2.15 2008-01-01 -2.41 2008-02-01 -2.02 2008-03-01 -2.74 2008-04-01 -3.48 2008-05-01 -3.03 2008-06-01 -3.78 2008-07-01 -4.24 2008-08-01 -4.89 2008-09-01 -5.11 2008-10-01 -5.42 2008-11-01 -4.81 2008-12-01 -4.87 2009-01-01 -5.39 2009-02-01 -5.00 2009-03-01 -4.53 2009-04-01 -4.14 2009-05-01 -3.51 2009-06-01 -2.76 2009-07-01 -2.38 2009-08-01 -0.88 2009-09-01 -0.30 2009-10-01 -0.07 2009-11-01 -0.27 2009-12-01 0.08 2010-01-01 0.64 2010-02-01 1.21 2010-03-01 1.28 2010-04-01 0.31 2010-05-01 0.13 2010-06-01 0.64 2010-07-01 0.18 2010-08-01 0.13 2010-09-01 0.96 2010-10-01 1.11 2010-11-01 1.22 2010-12-01 1.68 2011-01-01 1.12 2011-02-01 0.82 2011-03-01 0.31 2011-04-01 -0.36 2011-05-01 -0.48 2011-06-01 0.40 2011-07-01 1.70 2011-08-01 2.03 2011-09-01 2.16 2011-10-01 2.48 2011-11-01 2.14 2011-12-01 1.26 2012-01-01 0.95 2012-02-01 1.19 2012-03-01 1.10 2012-04-01 0.67 2012-05-01 0.94 2012-06-01 2.13 2012-07-01 3.30 2012-08-01 3.59 2012-09-01 3.37 2012-10-01 3.24 2012-11-01 3.43 2012-12-01 3.42 2013-01-01 2.64 2013-02-01 2.67 2013-03-01 2.21