Title: Leading Index for Hawaii Series ID: HISLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:21 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -1.54 1982-02-01 -1.28 1982-03-01 0.12 1982-04-01 -0.05 1982-05-01 0.05 1982-06-01 0.09 1982-07-01 -0.15 1982-08-01 -0.23 1982-09-01 0.90 1982-10-01 0.82 1982-11-01 1.10 1982-12-01 1.56 1983-01-01 1.69 1983-02-01 1.38 1983-03-01 0.74 1983-04-01 1.03 1983-05-01 1.04 1983-06-01 2.06 1983-07-01 2.12 1983-08-01 1.52 1983-09-01 1.38 1983-10-01 0.65 1983-11-01 0.65 1983-12-01 0.48 1984-01-01 0.47 1984-02-01 0.35 1984-03-01 0.82 1984-04-01 0.99 1984-05-01 1.13 1984-06-01 0.90 1984-07-01 0.38 1984-08-01 0.57 1984-09-01 0.69 1984-10-01 0.85 1984-11-01 1.75 1984-12-01 2.49 1985-01-01 2.89 1985-02-01 3.14 1985-03-01 2.86 1985-04-01 2.80 1985-05-01 2.50 1985-06-01 2.46 1985-07-01 2.31 1985-08-01 2.12 1985-09-01 2.50 1985-10-01 2.16 1985-11-01 1.54 1985-12-01 1.76 1986-01-01 1.67 1986-02-01 1.39 1986-03-01 1.83 1986-04-01 1.89 1986-05-01 2.60 1986-06-01 3.01 1986-07-01 3.47 1986-08-01 3.26 1986-09-01 3.36 1986-10-01 3.34 1986-11-01 3.09 1986-12-01 3.23 1987-01-01 3.39 1987-02-01 2.82 1987-03-01 2.58 1987-04-01 2.94 1987-05-01 2.92 1987-06-01 2.63 1987-07-01 2.89 1987-08-01 3.22 1987-09-01 3.11 1987-10-01 3.16 1987-11-01 2.60 1987-12-01 2.41 1988-01-01 2.62 1988-02-01 2.10 1988-03-01 2.39 1988-04-01 2.71 1988-05-01 2.30 1988-06-01 2.63 1988-07-01 2.87 1988-08-01 2.58 1988-09-01 2.87 1988-10-01 2.96 1988-11-01 3.28 1988-12-01 3.68 1989-01-01 3.87 1989-02-01 4.01 1989-03-01 3.78 1989-04-01 3.21 1989-05-01 3.27 1989-06-01 3.31 1989-07-01 2.97 1989-08-01 3.16 1989-09-01 3.16 1989-10-01 3.27 1989-11-01 2.77 1989-12-01 2.50 1990-01-01 2.12 1990-02-01 2.24 1990-03-01 2.87 1990-04-01 2.79 1990-05-01 2.75 1990-06-01 1.93 1990-07-01 1.29 1990-08-01 1.42 1990-09-01 1.58 1990-10-01 1.42 1990-11-01 1.53 1990-12-01 1.31 1991-01-01 0.71 1991-02-01 0.25 1991-03-01 0.20 1991-04-01 0.52 1991-05-01 0.84 1991-06-01 0.98 1991-07-01 0.88 1991-08-01 0.96 1991-09-01 1.45 1991-10-01 0.44 1991-11-01 0.36 1991-12-01 0.48 1992-01-01 0.10 1992-02-01 -0.15 1992-03-01 -0.24 1992-04-01 -0.27 1992-05-01 0.00 1992-06-01 0.04 1992-07-01 0.12 1992-08-01 -0.16 1992-09-01 0.02 1992-10-01 -0.13 1992-11-01 -0.60 1992-12-01 -0.56 1993-01-01 -0.56 1993-02-01 -0.82 1993-03-01 -0.27 1993-04-01 0.07 1993-05-01 -0.25 1993-06-01 -0.87 1993-07-01 -1.03 1993-08-01 -1.35 1993-09-01 -0.76 1993-10-01 -0.54 1993-11-01 -1.37 1993-12-01 -1.35 1994-01-01 -0.76 1994-02-01 -0.82 1994-03-01 -0.48 1994-04-01 -0.32 1994-05-01 -0.15 1994-06-01 -0.18 1994-07-01 -0.19 1994-08-01 -0.60 1994-09-01 -0.42 1994-10-01 -0.02 1994-11-01 -0.17 1994-12-01 -0.48 1995-01-01 -1.01 1995-02-01 -1.50 1995-03-01 -1.68 1995-04-01 -1.82 1995-05-01 -1.83 1995-06-01 -1.47 1995-07-01 -1.54 1995-08-01 -1.51 1995-09-01 -0.88 1995-10-01 -0.49 1995-11-01 -0.75 1995-12-01 -0.83 1996-01-01 -0.81 1996-02-01 -0.75 1996-03-01 -0.70 1996-04-01 -0.47 1996-05-01 -0.13 1996-06-01 -0.15 1996-07-01 -0.14 1996-08-01 0.22 1996-09-01 0.08 1996-10-01 -0.12 1996-11-01 0.19 1996-12-01 0.44 1997-01-01 0.42 1997-02-01 0.17 1997-03-01 -0.40 1997-04-01 -0.59 1997-05-01 -0.79 1997-06-01 -0.61 1997-07-01 -0.23 1997-08-01 -0.23 1997-09-01 -0.38 1997-10-01 0.20 1997-11-01 0.13 1997-12-01 -0.03 1998-01-01 0.01 1998-02-01 -0.32 1998-03-01 -0.35 1998-04-01 -0.40 1998-05-01 -0.56 1998-06-01 -0.51 1998-07-01 -0.44 1998-08-01 -0.05 1998-09-01 0.09 1998-10-01 -0.14 1998-11-01 0.47 1998-12-01 0.22 1999-01-01 0.35 1999-02-01 0.23 1999-03-01 0.55 1999-04-01 1.14 1999-05-01 0.90 1999-06-01 1.10 1999-07-01 1.34 1999-08-01 1.95 1999-09-01 1.76 1999-10-01 1.98 1999-11-01 1.68 1999-12-01 1.72 2000-01-01 1.64 2000-02-01 1.60 2000-03-01 1.93 2000-04-01 1.93 2000-05-01 1.31 2000-06-01 1.05 2000-07-01 0.84 2000-08-01 1.12 2000-09-01 1.15 2000-10-01 1.05 2000-11-01 0.75 2000-12-01 0.02 2001-01-01 0.04 2001-02-01 -0.73 2001-03-01 -0.59 2001-04-01 -0.52 2001-05-01 -0.55 2001-06-01 0.12 2001-07-01 -0.59 2001-08-01 -1.44 2001-09-01 -1.80 2001-10-01 -1.40 2001-11-01 -2.14 2001-12-01 -0.12 2002-01-01 1.94 2002-02-01 2.42 2002-03-01 1.45 2002-04-01 2.29 2002-05-01 1.95 2002-06-01 1.28 2002-07-01 1.74 2002-08-01 1.58 2002-09-01 1.71 2002-10-01 1.74 2002-11-01 1.33 2002-12-01 1.84 2003-01-01 1.31 2003-02-01 0.77 2003-03-01 0.59 2003-04-01 0.19 2003-05-01 0.99 2003-06-01 1.09 2003-07-01 1.08 2003-08-01 1.53 2003-09-01 1.60 2003-10-01 2.01 2003-11-01 2.18 2003-12-01 1.91 2004-01-01 2.05 2004-02-01 1.87 2004-03-01 2.08 2004-04-01 2.51 2004-05-01 2.28 2004-06-01 1.90 2004-07-01 2.30 2004-08-01 2.14 2004-09-01 1.99 2004-10-01 2.02 2004-11-01 2.37 2004-12-01 1.77 2005-01-01 1.80 2005-02-01 1.67 2005-03-01 1.96 2005-04-01 1.94 2005-05-01 1.79 2005-06-01 1.53 2005-07-01 1.38 2005-08-01 1.48 2005-09-01 1.05 2005-10-01 1.01 2005-11-01 1.00 2005-12-01 1.51 2006-01-01 1.47 2006-02-01 1.29 2006-03-01 1.73 2006-04-01 1.47 2006-05-01 1.40 2006-06-01 1.35 2006-07-01 1.12 2006-08-01 1.40 2006-09-01 1.08 2006-10-01 0.99 2006-11-01 0.71 2006-12-01 0.36 2007-01-01 -0.25 2007-02-01 0.01 2007-03-01 -0.05 2007-04-01 0.04 2007-05-01 -0.18 2007-06-01 -0.07 2007-07-01 -0.14 2007-08-01 0.01 2007-09-01 -0.09 2007-10-01 -0.50 2007-11-01 -0.72 2007-12-01 -0.57 2008-01-01 -0.51 2008-02-01 -1.16 2008-03-01 -1.69 2008-04-01 -2.38 2008-05-01 -2.47 2008-06-01 -2.90 2008-07-01 -3.08 2008-08-01 -3.21 2008-09-01 -3.28 2008-10-01 -3.21 2008-11-01 -3.43 2008-12-01 -4.01 2009-01-01 -3.47 2009-02-01 -3.72 2009-03-01 -3.49 2009-04-01 -2.67 2009-05-01 -3.01 2009-06-01 -2.11 2009-07-01 -2.06 2009-08-01 -2.17 2009-09-01 -1.52 2009-10-01 -0.74 2009-11-01 -0.81 2009-12-01 -0.80 2010-01-01 -0.36 2010-02-01 0.12 2010-03-01 0.53 2010-04-01 0.48 2010-05-01 0.24 2010-06-01 0.54 2010-07-01 0.63 2010-08-01 0.23 2010-09-01 0.31 2010-10-01 1.09 2010-11-01 0.76 2010-12-01 0.44 2011-01-01 0.81 2011-02-01 0.55 2011-03-01 0.69 2011-04-01 0.54 2011-05-01 0.19 2011-06-01 0.17 2011-07-01 0.97 2011-08-01 0.73 2011-09-01 1.07 2011-10-01 1.31 2011-11-01 1.25 2011-12-01 1.33 2012-01-01 1.22 2012-02-01 1.33 2012-03-01 1.05 2012-04-01 1.50 2012-05-01 1.59 2012-06-01 1.48 2012-07-01 1.54 2012-08-01 1.65 2012-09-01 1.44 2012-10-01 1.00 2012-11-01 0.63 2012-12-01 0.84 2013-01-01 0.04 2013-02-01 -0.40 2013-03-01 0.38